American Airlines expects higher earnings in 2023 as travel demand surges, benefiting from a strong start to the peak season and declining airfares.
American Airlines has increased its earnings outlook for 2023 following a strong start to the peak travel season, joining other airlines benefiting from the ongoing surge in demand. The Fort Worth, Texas-based carrier now expects to earn between $3 and $3.75 per share for the full year, adjusted for one-time items, compared to the previous forecast of about $2.50 to $3.50. This updated profit guidance aligns with Wall Street’s expectations of $3.10 per share. The airline’s positive outlook reflects the optimism surrounding travel demand, particularly for international flights, as airfares have declined compared to last year’s limited options due to pandemic-related disruptions.
In the second quarter, American Airlines outperformed analysts’ expectations, reporting adjusted earnings per share of $1.92, surpassing the anticipated $1.59. Total revenue for the quarter reached $14.06 billion, a 4.7% increase from the previous year and higher than the expected $13.74 billion. The company’s net income for the quarter was $1.34 billion, or $1.88 per share, compared to $476 million, or 68 cents per share, in the same period last year. These figures take into account one-time items, including costs associated with early retirements of aircraft during the pandemic.
Looking ahead, American Airlines foresees a drop in unit revenues of up to 6.5% in the third quarter compared to the same period last year, with capacity growth of approximately 7%. The company expects to earn an adjusted 85 to 95 cents per share during the third quarter, in line with estimates. The airline’s projections incorporate labor deal costs, including a tentative agreement with its pilots. However, the pilots’ union is seeking improvements to the contract following a recent deal between rival United Airlines and its pilots’ union.
American Airlines CEO Robert Isom expressed his commitment to matching wages, ensuring the pilots are aware of the company’s intentions. The positive earnings performance and increased outlook highlight American Airlines’ resilience and recovery from the pandemic’s impact. With strong demand and improved financials, the airline is poised to navigate the evolving travel landscape, providing increased options and a positive experience for travelers.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.