Optimism surrounds the S&P 500 ahead of July's CPI, forecasted to grow by 0.2% monthly and 3.3% annually; Disney grapples with declining subscribers.
Wall Street showed signs of optimism on Thursday morning, with stock futures trending upward. A substantial factor fueling this anticipation is the imminent release of pivotal inflation data, set to offer insights that could be instrumental in guiding the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decisions on interest rates.
Early indicators from the stock futures market are painting a picture of confidence. Dow futures have surged by 214 points, a 0.61% rise, standing at 35,416.00. The S&P 500 Index futures also climbed, posting a gain of 0.66% to reach 4,515.25. Meanwhile, the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 Index futures experienced a 0.72% increase, landing at 15,287.00. Despite a previous downward trend in Wall Street’s session—where the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.54%, the S&P 500 by 0.7%, and the Nasdaq Composite by 1.17%—there’s a renewed sense of anticipation.
In the entertainment sector, Disney’s recent moves have drawn considerable attention. Even though Disney faced challenges like a significant decline in Disney+ subscribers, especially a 24% drop from the Disney+ Hotstar platform due to the lost rights to the IPL cricket matches, the company’s stock remained resilient.
This resilience was likely driven by the announcement of an upcoming price hike for its ad-free subscriptions, a move that mirrored a similar strategy by streaming rival Netflix earlier in the year. Disney’s shares subsequently soared by 4% in extended trading. Disney CEO Bob Iger underscored the importance of the company’s diverse ventures, notably film studios, parks, and streaming, in their forward-looking growth strategy.
On another positive note, Wynn Resorts witnessed a 1% stock price increase, buoyed by results that exceeded market expectations.
Arguably, the highlight for traders this week is the much-awaited July consumer price index (CPI) report. This document is set to unveil comprehensive details about U.S. inflation, insights that can profoundly influence fiscal decisions in the coming months. Economists currently project the CPI for July to grow by 0.2% and experience a 3.3% rise on an annualized basis. In addition to the CPI, core inflation elements, including factors like shelter, energy, health care, and food prices, will be closely examined by market analysts.
Broadly speaking, Wall Street appears to be betting on the Federal Reserve maintaining rates in their upcoming September 20th meeting. But in the world of finance, certainties are rare. Some voices, most notably that of Federal Reserve Bank Governor Michelle Bowman, hint at the possibility that the rate-hike cycle isn’t quite done. Adding to the intricate financial tapestry are movements in the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield and corporate earnings reports from industry heavyweights, further emphasizing the dynamic nature of the current economic landscape.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.