The three major US indices all look strong over the longer-term, but they have all been a bit overdone recently. At this point though, it looks like the market is trying to work off the excess froth from the moves.
The Nasdaq 100 initially tried to rally a bit during the early hours on Wednesday only to turn around and drop again. Now, I don’t necessarily think that the NASDAQ 100 is about to enter a negative trend, but we do have non-farm payroll announcements on Thursday that probably have people somewhat cautious about trying to jump in with a huge position. All things being equal, this is a market that I think, given enough time, probably looks at the $22,000 level as massive support. If we can break above 22,750, then I think we will go much higher.
The Dow Jones 30 looks a bit exhausted as well. Quite frankly, we just got to this supply way too quickly to perhaps continue to run higher. With that being the case, you’ve got a situation where traders are probably going to continue to see a lot of ugly behavior, but I also recognize that even if we do drop from here, the 43,500 levels should be massive support. And that’s assuming that we can even get there. I still think we test the 45,000 level given enough time, but we need some type of catalyst to get there. Perhaps it’s the jobs number on Thursday. We just don’t know yet. But at this point in time, I think we’ve got a situation where you have to look at this as a market that when it drops, it offers value.
The S&P 500 initially tried to rally but has given back quite a bit of the gains. However, we are closer to support in the S&P 500 than we are the other indices. So, it is very possible that perhaps we will get a little bit of a pullback and then the S&P 500 will lead us higher. The 6,150 level I think is important as it was previous all-time high. Now we’ll have to see if it’ll hold out support. Even if it doesn’t, I think there is massive support down to 6,000 as well. And again, this might just simply be the market taking a little bit of a breather late in the week as we are heading towards a holiday. And of course, we get those jobs numbers again on Thursday.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.