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NASDAQ Index, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Forecasts – US Indices Rebound After NFP

By
Christopher Lewis
Published: Jan 9, 2026, 15:46 GMT+00:00

The US stock markets have been noisy in the early trading hours of Friday, but I suspect that with the job numbers being relatively close to the expectations, this will pass and we find buyers.

Nasdaq 100 Technical Analysis

The Nasdaq 100 has been all over the place in early trading on Friday as traders have been trying to anticipate the jobs numbers. Now that it has come out, we know that the United States added 50,000 jobs in December, not 65,000.

This is a bit of a steady-as-she-goes type of number because it still suggests that the Federal Reserve probably stays on course to cut in February. At the same time, this wasn’t catastrophic, so I don’t think this accelerates any of the plans, and really, I don’t know that a whole lot has changed.

Short-term pullbacks offer buying opportunities, and the 50-day EMA at the 25,267 level could be a short-term floor. To the upside, there’s a barrier at 26,000. If we can finally get above there, then perhaps we can go higher, but right now I think this just remains choppy and more buy on the dip than anything else.

Dow Jones 30 Technical Analysis

The Dow Jones 30 has been pretty back and forth in the early hours here on Friday as well. Ultimately, I think you have a situation where it’s probably going to consolidate a bit before trying to rally. I do think we get to the 50,000 level given enough time, and volume is starting to pick up as you would expect this week.

That’s a good sign. Ultimately, I’m looking for short-term pullbacks as buying opportunities all the way down to the 48,000 level, which I think is your floor at the moment.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

The S&P 500 has been choppy as well, but it still looks like a market that wants to go higher, and therefore, I think it probably does. I would look for a move to the 7,000 level as being very possible.

Initially, during the day, we have consolidated quite a bit. This isn’t that rare for a Non-Farm Payroll day; normally, it’s more noise than anything else. There’s nothing on this chart that tells me the trend is going to change, or you should be worried, so dips offer value that I plan on taking advantage of all the way down to the 6,800 level.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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