NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis – August 26, 2015 – Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation:

The NZD/USD added 41 points to move to 0.6521 after the release of New Zealand inflation expectations remained at 1.9%. Global markets were adjusting to yesterday’s sharp declines. The kiwi touched 62.44 US cents overnight, its lowest level since July 2009, amid low liquidity, and was trading at 64.90 cents at 8am in Wellington, from 65.89 cents at 5pm yesterday.

Investors sold the kiwi as concerns about a slowdown in China spurred a flight to safe haven assets.

China’s benchmark Shanghai Composite Index tanked 8.5 per cent following weak manufacturing data on Friday, and concern about growth in the world’s second-largest economy spread to other markets, causing a selloff in European and US equities and pushing down the price of oil and other commodities.

A gauge of investors’ concerns, the CBOE Volatility Index or VIX, climbed 24.8 per cent to 34.97 after earlier rising as high as 53.29.

The U.S. dollar dropped against most major currencies on Monday as investors lowered their expectation for an interest-rate hike this year following a rout in global equity markets.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

 

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Aug 25 00:00 UK Announces details of Jan 2021 gilt

Aug 25 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTP/CCTeu on 28 Aug

Aug 25 19:00 US Holds 2-year note auction

Aug 26 11:10 Italy Eur 3bn 0.15% Aug 2017 CTZ

Aug 26 19:00 US Holds 2-year FRN note auction

Aug 26 12:05 Norway Holds bond auction

Aug 26 19:00 US Holds 5-year note auction

Aug 26 19:00 US Holds 2-year FRN auction

Aug 27 11:03 Sweden Sek 0.5bn 0.125% I/L Jun 2019, Sek 0.5bn 1% Jun 2025 bonds

Aug 27 19:00 US Holds 7-year note auction

Aug 28 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

Sep 01 11:15 Austria Holds RAGB bond sale

Sep 01 00:00 UK Announces details of 3.5% 2045 Gilt

Sep 02 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Sep 02 11:30 Germany Eur 4bn 0.25% Oct 2020 Bobl

Sep 02 11:30 UK Auctions new Jan 2021 Gilt

Sep 03 10:30 Spain Auctions Bonos/Obligaciones

Sep 03 11:10 France Auctions OATs

Sep 03 00:00 US Announces details of 3yr note on 08 Sep, 10yr note on 09 Sep

Sep 03 00:00 US Announces details of 10-year note on 09 Sep