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NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis December 20, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 01:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD is trading this morning at 0.8392 falling 31pts after a disappointing current account release. The kiwi fell

NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis December 20, 2012, Forecast
NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis December 20, 2012, Forecast
NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis December 20, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation:

The NZD/USD is trading this morning at 0.8392 falling 31pts after a disappointing current account release. The kiwi fell below 84 US cents as investors flocked the euro and Swiss franc after Standard & Poor’s upgraded its Greek credit rating and as optimism was stoked on the prospect US legislators will cut a deal on the fiscal cliff.

Third-quarter current account gap was $9.89 billion in the year ended Sept. 30, from a deficit of $10.09 billion three months earlier, according to Statistics New Zealand. An annual gap of $9.83 billion was expected, according to a Reuter’s survey. The annual deficit narrowed to 4.7 percent of gross domestic product from 4.9 percent. That comes ahead of tomorrow’s third-quarter gross domestic product figures, which are expected to show the economy grew 0.4 percent in the period, according to a Reuters survey.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 19, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 19

 

NZD

 

 

Current Account 

-4.42B

 

-4.40B 

 

-1.80B 

 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

MI Leading Index (MoM) 

0.1%

 

 

 

0.7% 

 

 

 

 

JPY

 

 

Trade Balance 

-0.87T

 

-0.81T 

 

-0.62T 

 

 

 

 

JPY

 

 

All Industries Activity Index

0.2%

 

0.4% 

 

-0.4% 

 

 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

 

 

NZD

 

 

GDP (QoQ) 

 

 

0.4% 

 

0.6% 

 

 

 

 

NZD

 

 

Business Confidence 

 

 

 

 

26.40 

 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

RBA Bulletin 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

JPY

 

 

Interest Rate Decision 

 

 

0.10% 

 

0.10% 

 

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 20 10:30 UK 

Dec 20 16:30 Italy  

Dec 20 18:00 US 

Dec 21 16:30 Italy  

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