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NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis October 6, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 24, 2015, 22:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The NZD/USD tumbled farther as the US dollar gained in the Asian session to trade at 0.7866. The pair fell 34 points.  The

NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis October 6, 2014 Forecast
NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis October 6, 2014 Forecast
NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis October 6, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation:

The NZD/USD tumbled farther as the US dollar gained in the Asian session to trade at 0.7866. The pair fell 34 points.  The New Zealand dollar was pulled upwards by a strengthening euro after the European Central Bank failed to detail the size of its upcoming bond purchase plan, curbing bets it would expand its balance sheet enough to weaken the currency. The currency market is likely to be quiet today as investors sit tight ahead of the key US non-farm payrolls release.

Traders expect the report will show the US added more than 250,000 jobs last month, ahead of the market expectation for 215,000. A report yesterday showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits in the US dropped 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 287,000 in the week ended Sept 27, better than the 297,000 expected in a Reuters poll of economists.

The New Zealand dollar is likely to be little changed at the end of this week, belying the volatility of events that saw it drop to its lowest in more than a year. The New Zealand dollar is likely to be little changed at the end of this week, belying the volatility of events that saw it drop to its lowest in more than a year.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

  USD

 

FOMC Member Bullard  

 

 

 

 

  AUD

 

HIA New Home Sales

3.3%

 

-5.7%

 

  CNY

 

Non-Manufacturing PMI

54.0

 

54.4

 

 

NZDUSD(15 minutes)20141003071836

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

  EUR

 

German Factory Orders

 

-2.5%

4.6%

 

  CAD

 

Ivey PMI  

 

 

50.9

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country Auction

Oct 02 08:30 Spain Auctions 1.4% Jan 2020 & 2.75% Oct 2024 Obligations

Oct 02 08:50 France Eur 7-8bn 1.75% May 2023, 1.75% Nov 2024 & 2.75% Oct 2027

Oct 02 15:00 US Announces details of 3/10Y Note & 30Y bond auctions on Oct

Oct 07 06:00 Swiss Announces details of optional bond auction on Oct 08

Oct 07 09:00 Norway Bond auction

Oct 07 09:15 Austria RAGB auction

Oct 07 9:30 UK Auctions 3.5% 2045 Gilt

Oct 07 15:30 Italy Announces details of BOT auction on Oct 10

Oct 07 17:00 US 3Y Note auction

Oct 08 09:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Oct 2019 Bobl auction

Oct 08 09:30 Swiss Bond auction (for decision)

Oct 08 15:30 Italy Announces details of BTP

Oct 08 17:00 US 10Y Note auction

Oct 09 09:03 Sweden I/L bond auction

Oct 09 17:00 US 30Y bond auction

Oct 10 09:10 Italy BOT auction

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