Analysis and Recommendations: Gold eased $2.50 recovering from its losses in the Asian session to trade at 1092.60. Silver remained on the bottom at
Gold eased $2.50 recovering from its losses in the Asian session to trade at 1092.60. Silver remained on the bottom at 14.675 and platinum was down $6.35 at 978.65. Gold tumbled to a five-year low in July as Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the central bank is on track for raising rates, curbing the appeal of bullion as it doesn’t pay interest like assets such as equities. A government report Monday showed American households kept spending in June, capping a stronger quarter for the biggest part of the economy, as incomes rose. Investors are looking ahead to employment data this week to assess prospects for a September liftoff. While US data suggested the world’s largest economy may have lost some momentum in the past two months, economists believe the U.S. central bank was still set to lift rates this year. But the initial hike – the first in nine years – could be later than September when Fed policymakers meet next.
“The release of better-than-expected U.S. economic data continued to weigh on gold,” James Steel, an analyst at HSBC Securities (USA) Inc. in New York, said in a note. “The combination of weak commodities and bullion’s inability to convincingly break over the psychological $1,100-level helped explain the slight sell-off.”
Analysts said the fall in gold futures was mostly attributed to trimming of positions by speculators, tracking a weak trend overseas as the US interest-rate outlook buoyed the dollar, eroding appeal of the precious metal as an alternative investment.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Today’s economic releases:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|||
AUD |
Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun) |
0.7% |
0.5% |
0.4% |
|||
AUD |
Trade Balance (Jun) |
-2.933B |
-3.100B |
-2.677B |
|||
AUD |
Interest Rate Decision (Aug) |
2.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
|
||
AUD |
RBA Rate Statement |
|
|
|
|
||
GBP |
Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Jul) |
3.5% |
3.5% |
3.3% |
|
||
GBP |
Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Jul) |
0.4% |
0.4% |
-0.2% |
|
||
EUR |
Spanish Unemployment Change |
-74.0K |
-45.6K |
-94.7K |
|
||
GBP |
Construction PMI (Jul) |
57.1 |
58.4 |
58.1 |
Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Wednesday, August 5, 2015
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|||
GBP |
Services PMI (Jul) |
|
58.0 |
58.5 |
|
||
USD |
ADP Nonfarm Employment Change |
|
215K |
237K |
|
||
USD |
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jul) |
|
56.2 |
56.0 |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Aug 05 11:30 Germany Eur 4bn Oct 2020
Aug 05 11:30 Sweden Holds bond auction
Aug 06 10:30 Spain Auctions Bonos
Aug 06 11:10 France Auctions OATs
Aug 10 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTP/CCTeu on 13 Aug
Aug 11 11:30 UK Auctions 0.125% 2058 I/L Gilt
Aug 12 11:30 Germany Eur 4bn Aug 2025 Bund
Aug 13 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus