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Risk ON Mode As Its Finest. S&P 500, EUR/PLN, NZD/USD Markets Analysis

By:
Tomasz Wiśniewski
Published: May 27, 2020, 11:18 UTC

Traders are extremely optimistic; bears have to abandon their negative view and buyers are enjoying still relatively discounted stocks. Is it exaggerated?

Risk ON Mode As Its Finest. S&P 500, EUR/PLN, NZD/USD Markets Analysis

In this article:

And here we are, as far as indices go, we are on the highest levels during the coronacrash recovery. Traders are extremely optimistic; bears have to abandon their negative view and buyers are enjoying still relatively discounted stocks. Is this optimism irrational? Is it exaggerated? Well, maybe but we said it already and we will say it again: do not look for logic on the market and do not assume that the stock market should closely reflect the status of the economy.

The SP500 broke the crucial resistance at the 2980 level and the psychological barrier at 3000 points. That is not enough for the buyers and they are still pushing the price higher and higher. As long as the price stays above 2980 points, the sentiment is positive.

Optimism can be clearly seen on the Forex market, where emerging markets’ currencies are nicely getting traction. An outstanding move could be seen on the EURPLN, where the price broke the lower line of the symmetric triangle pattern and further, the 4,51 support level. That removed the brakes and the price collapsed aiming at the crucial support of 4,40. 4,40, it looks extremely strong as it was the crucial resistance in 2018 and 2019. The first contact with this area gives a handsome hammer.

Small update on the NZDUSD. We mentioned this instrument in one of our previous analysis and we were bullish, pointing out the good-looking flag pattern. The price indeed broke the upper line of the flag and went higher crashing through the horizontal resistance at 0.616. As long as the price stays above that resistance, sentiment is positive.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

During his career, Tomasz has held over 400 webinars, live seminars and lectures across Poland. He is also an academic lecturer at Kozminski University. In his previous work, Tomasz initiated live trading programs, where he traded on real accounts, showing his transactions, providing signals and special webinars for his clients.

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