Advertisement
Advertisement

Silver Fundamental Analysis August 19, 2013 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 22, 2015, 07:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: Silver eased a bit today and gave up early gains to trade at 22.932 after moving over the $23 price level in the morning

Silver Fundamental Analysis August 19, 2013 Forecast

Silver Fundamental Analysis August 19, 2013 Forecast
Silver Fundamental Analysis August 19, 2013 Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:

Silver eased a bit today and gave up early gains to trade at 22.932 after moving over the $23 price level in the morning session. Silver spot prices at the COMEX traded at $22.99, up 5.10% while silver September futures prices were at $22.94, up 5.27%. US initial jobless claims declined which supported dollar index however the TIC flows decreased along with the Philadelphia index pressurized US dollar and supported silver prices to rise. This would have increased the speculation that Fed might not consider tapering in the near future which supported silver prices. Markets seemed to have little reaction to disappointing housing and building permits data today, as traders await consumer confidence at the end of the day. Traders can expect the optimism to continue in commodity prices. Bullion and energy prices might continue to remain higher while base metals might show volatility in prices.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our  weekly reports.                                                                                        

Economic Data August 16, 2013 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Aug. 16

 

EUR

 

 

CPI (YoY) 

1.6%

 

1.6% 

 

1.6% 

 

 

 

 

EUR

 

 

Core CPI (YoY) 

1.1%

 

1.1% 

 

1.2% 

 

 

 

 

EUR

 

 

CPI (MoM) 

-0.5%

 

-0.5% 

 

0.1% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Building Permits 

0.943M

 

0.945M 

 

0.918M 

   

 

 

CAD

 

 

Foreign Securities Purchases 

-15.41B

 

7.77B 

 

6.78B 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Housing Starts 

0.896M

 

0.900M 

 

0.846M 

   

 

 

CAD

 

 

Manufacturing Sales (MoM) 

-0.50%

 

1.00% 

 

0.60% 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) 

0.9%

 

0.6% 

 

-1.7% 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) 

1.4%

 

1.2% 

 

-4.2% 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Building Permits (MoM) 

2.7%

 

2.9% 

 

-6.8% 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Housing Starts (MoM) 

5.9%

 

8.3% 

 

-7.9% 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Michigan Consumer Sentiment 

 

 

85.5 

 

85.1 

   

 

silver 0816bnsnla

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

 Aug. 20

07:00

EUR

German PPI (YoY) 

0.6%

 

08:30

EUR

Dutch Consumer Confidence 

-38.00

 

13:30

USD

Chicago Fed National Activity 

-0.13

 

13:55

USD

Redbook (MoM) 

0.40%

 

13:55

USD

Redbook (YoY) 

3.7%

 

14:00

EUR

Belgium Consumer Confidence 

-16.00

 

 

About the Author

Advertisement