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Silver Price Forecast – Silver markets struggle at 50 EMA

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Oct 26, 2018, 04:47 UTC

Silver markets continue to respect the 50 EMA, as it looks like we are starting to run out of momentum. Because of this, I believe that the $15 level will continue to be a major resistance barrier.

Silver daily chart, October 26, 2018

Silver markets have calm down a bit after rallying significantly from the $14 level, and it now looks as if we are probably going to see a bit of sideways action in the short term as the EMA is flattening. If we can break above the $15 level, then the market could go to the $15.50 level, but I think it’s going to take a bit of US dollar weakness, something that we don’t see a lot of these days, especially considering that the EUR/USD pair continues to make fresh, new lows. Ultimately, this is a market that is consolidating between the $14 level on the bottom and the $15 level on the top. If that’s the case, then $14.50 ends up being “fair value.”

At this point, I think you are essentially going to be trading between those three areas, so “choke up on the bat” so to speak, meaning that you need to trade shorter time frames. I would anticipate support at the $14.50 level, at least for a short-term bounce. However, if we break down below that level then we probably go looking towards the $14 level again which should be massive support. Longer-term, I still like this market but I recognize that there are far too many moving pieces out there to be comfortable holding something as volatile as silver with high leverage. I like buying physical silver, something that I’ve been doing for months. If we were to break down below the $14 level, there’s an even more supportive level at the $12 from a longer-term historical perspective.

SILVER Video 26.10.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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