Silver sold off sharply on Friday as a failed gap fill and declining volume raised concerns about a potential double top near $54. A break below $50 would signal growing downside risk, with fundamentals offering little justification for recent bullish momentum.
The silver market gapped lower to kick off the trading session on Friday, only to turn around and fill that gap and then drop again. With that being the case, market participants continue to see a lot of noisy behavior, and the possibility of a double top is a very real thing here. It is worth noting that the volume had dropped quite drastically on the way back up, and that was something I was warning about. Now this suddenly looks very precarious if we continue to the downside, and I would say if we break down below $50, that is not a good look.
Silver is a very dangerous market to trade in most of the time anyway, and quite frankly, the demand for silver is not the same situation as we have in gold. So, silver falling does not really surprise me. What has been somewhat surprising is that all of a sudden, there was a huge demand for it. That being said, there are questions about whether EV or green technology will push up demand. It does not really seem to matter, though. Silver has been imbalanced for a long time. There has always been a shortage, and silver would trade at $15 an ounce, so I do not know that anything has truly, fundamentally changed.
This has been a pretty excellent short squeeze to the upside. But the question now is, will $50 hold? If it does not, that is not a good look. That does not mean that we plunge straight down, but a double top at $54 is pretty ominous. We will have to wait and see.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.