Silver continues to have a quiet week. The metal remains close to $17.50 and is showing little appetite for a substantial in either direction. However, a breakthrough in the U.S-China talks could shake up the silver markets.
Silver prices are flat on Tuesday, after starting the week with small gains. In the European session, silver is trading at $17.66, up $0.02, or 0.03% on the day.
It was just last week that investors were optimistic about the latest round of talks between the U.S. and China. There was hope that the sides might reach a “Phase 1” deal, which would suspend tariffs while leaving thorny issues such as intellectual property theft for another day. However, China is looking for another round of talks before agreeing to a limited trade deal with the United States. The Trump administration has suspended higher tariffs which were set to take effect this week, and the sides have some breathing room, with the next set of tariffs scheduled for December. Analysts expect a high-profile meeting shortly, which could set the scene for a “Phase 1” agreement. If the sides are able to ink a deal, safe-haven demand for silver could soften.
There is added pressure on China to show more flexibility in the negotiations, as the Chinese economy has been the big loser in the trade war with the U.S. In September, Chinese exports to the U.S. declined by 22%, on an annualized basis. The Chinese manufacturing sector is sputtering, as the Chinese Manufacturing PMI has pointed to contraction for the past four months.
Kenny is an experienced market analyst, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny has over 15 years of experience across a broad range of markets and assets –forex, indices and commodities.