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U.S. Dollar Gains Ground As Traders Prepare For Inflation Report: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jul 14, 2025, 17:05 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD pulled back towards the 1.1650 level as traders waited for U.S. inflation data.
  • GBP/USD declined below the 1.3450 level as pullback continued.
  • USD/JPY moved above the 147.50 level as traders reacted to Japan's Machinery Orders report.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Index Tests Resistance At 98.00 – 98.20

DXY
DXY 140725 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is moving higher as traders focus on U.S. inflation report, which will be released tomorrow. Analysts expect that Inflation Rate increased from 2.4% in May to 2.7% in June.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle above the resistance at 98.00 – 98.20. In case this attempt is successful, it will head towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 99.20 – 99.40 range.

EUR/USD Attempts To Settle Below 1.1650

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 140725 4h Chart

EUR/USD continues its attempts to settle below the nearest support level at 1.1675 – 1.1690.

If EUR/USD manages to settle below the 1.1675 level, it will move towards the next support at 1.1575 – 1.1590.

GBP/USD Remains Under Pressure

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 140725 4h Chart

GBP/USD tested news lows after the successful test of the previous support level at 1.3500 – 1.3520.

In case GBP/USD stays below the 1.3450 level, it will head towards the next support at 1.3370 – 1.3390. It should be noted that RSI is in the oversold territory, so the risks of a rebound are increasing.

USD/CAD Stays Range-Bound Amid Lack Of Strong Catalysts

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 140725 4h Chart

USD/CAD is stuck in a tight range as traders wait for additional catalysts. Other commodity-related currencies are losing ground in today’s trading session.

If USD/CAD manages to settle above the 1.3700 level, it will move towards the next resistance level at 1.3735 – 1.3750.

USD/JPY Tests New Highs As Japan’s Machinery Orders Beat Estimates

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 140725 4h Chart

USD/JPY is trying to settle above the resistance level at 147.50 – 148.00 as traders react to Machinery Orders report from Japan. The report showed that Machinery Orders increased by +4.4% year-over-year in May, compared to analyst forecast of +3.4%.

If USD/JPY climbs above the 148.00 level, it will head towards the resistance at 151.00 – 151.50. RSI is in the moderate territory, and there is plenty of room to gain additional upside momentum in the near term.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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