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U.S. Dollar Moves Higher Amid Rising Demand For Safe-Haven Assets: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By: 
Vladimir Zernov
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

Key Points:

  • GBP/USD is mostly flat as BoE raised the interest rate from 3.75% to 4.0%.
  • USD/CAD gained ground as demand for commodity-related currencies declined.
  • USD/JPY moved lower amid falling Treasury yields.

U.S. Dollar Index Tests Resistance At 101.50 – 101.65

DXY 051126 4h Chart
DXY 051126 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains some ground as traders focus on the Initial Jobless Claims report. The report indicated that 189,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits in a week, compared to analyst forecast of 196,000.

Traders also reacted to the huge sell-off in U.S. equity markets. Demand for safe-haven assets increased, which was bullish for the American currency.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle above the resistance at 101.50 – 101.65. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will head towards the 50 MA at 101.87. A move above the 50 MA will open the way to the test of the next resistance at 102.35 – 102.50.

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EUR/USD Is Flat As Traders React To Germany’s Factory Orders Data

EUR/USD 051126 4h Chart
EUR/USD 051126 4h Chart

EUR/USD is mostly flat as traders react to the weaker-than-expected Factory Orders report from Germany. The report showed that Factory Orders increased by +4.4% month-over-month in September, compared to analyst forecast of 4.8%.

The nearest resistance level for EUR/USD is located in the 1.1250 – 1.1265 range. A successful test of the resistance at 1.1250 – 1.1265 will open the way to the test of the next resistance at 1.1350 – 1.1365.

GBP/USD Stays Below 1.3500 After BoE Decision

GBP/USD 051126 4h Chart
GBP/USD 051126 4h Chart

GBP/USD remains stuck below the resistance at 1.3485 – 1.3500 as traders react to BoE Interest Rate Decision. The Bank of England raised the interest rate from 3.75% to 4%, in line with analyst estimates.

All nine BoE members voted for a hike. Analysts expected that seven members will vote for a hike, so the vote was more hawkish than estimated. Interestingly, hawkish BoE did not provide material support to the British pound.

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From the technical point of view, GBP/USD continues its attempts to settle above the resistance level at 1.3485 – 1.3500. In case GBP/USD manages to settle above the 1.3500 level, it will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the 1.3560 – 1.3575 range. RSI has recently pulled back into moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain momentum.

USD/CAD Gains Ground As Demand For Commodity-Related Currencies Falls

USD/CAD 051126 4h Chart
USD/CAD 051126 4h Chart

USD/CAD is moving higher despite rising precious metals markets. Other commodity-related currencies have also found themselves under pressure in today’s trading session.

Currently, USD/CAD is trying to settle above the resistance level at 1.3985 – 1.4000. In case USD/CAD manages to settle above 1.4000, it will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the 1.4070 – 1.4085 range.

USD/JPY Moves Lower As Treasury Yields Fall

USD/JPY 051126 4h Chart
USD/JPY 051126 4h Chart

USD/JPY is losing ground as traders focus on the pullback in Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries declined towards the 4.51% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled below 4.85%. Treasury yields are moving lower as traders rush to buy safe-haven bonds amid sell-off in U.S. equity markets.

USD/JPY failed to settle above the resistance level at 158.00 – 158.50 and is trying to settle below the 50 MA at 157.87. If USD/JPY manages to settle below the 50 MA, it will head towards the 157.00 level. A move below 157.00 will open the way to the test of the 156.00 level.

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About the Author

Vladimir ZernovFutures Trading Expert

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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