The US dollar has fallen against the Japanese yen to open up the week, as more trade concerns grip the markets. The ¥110 level above now looks likely to see significant resistance, so at this point in time it’s likely that the market could continue to sell rallies until we get some type of confidence back about the trade situation.
The US dollar has broken down significantly during the trading session on Monday, bouncing from the ¥109.35 level. However, there is a significant amount of bearish pressure above though, so I think it’s good to be difficult to rally for anything meaningful until things calm down between the Chinese and the Americans. I think the ¥109.33 level breaking down will more than likely send this market down to the ¥109 level. However, if we were to turn around and break above the ¥110 level, then we could go looking towards ¥110.50 level.
The take away from this is that we should continue to see a lot of choppy and indecisive trading. I think this week will be very noisy in most markets anyway, and the USD/JPY pair will probably be one of the worst for this. Short-term trading is about as good as this gets, so I think that short-term selling the rallies might be the best way to approach this market if you feel inclined to put money to work. However, I suspect that if you wish to trade the Japanese yen you should probably do so against other currencies than the US dollar, as there is a lot of noise around the greenback due to the spat between America and several other nations daily. As long as that’s the case, this market will struggle.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.