Analysis and Recommendations: The USD/CAD recovered 3 points after its huge fall on Wednesday. The pair is now trading well below its 2014 average at
The USD/CAD recovered 3 points after its huge fall on Wednesday. The pair is now trading well below its 2014 average at 1.0884. . The CAD is down –0.1% from yesterday’s NA close, after having rallied over 3% since March 20th. The more positive shift in CAD has come from a string of better than expected and improving domestic data releases (GDP, inflation, labor and trade) and Monday’s BoC business outlook survey that confirmed that businesses are increasing optimistic. The greenback lost some ground against the Canadian Dollar during the afternoon ahead of the FOMC policy statement, which underlined the Fed’s commitment to keep borrowing costs low to help drive the global economic recovery.
The Canadian dollar reached the strongest level in almost three months as minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last policy meeting suggested the Bank of Canada may keep pace with its U.S. counterpart in raising interest rates.
The currency strengthened for a fourth day after minutes of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee’s March 18-19 meeting showed several officials said projections for an interest-rate increase were overstated. Canadian economic data have beaten forecasts this month, while U.S. reports have trailed projections, damping speculation the U.S. central bank would move faster to raise interest rates and boost the value of its currency against Canada’s.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data April 10, 2014 actual v. forecast
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
NZD |
Business NZ PMI |
58.4 |
|
56.5 |
|
GBP |
RICS House Price Balance |
57% |
44% |
45% |
|
AUD |
Employment Change |
18.1K |
5.0K |
48.2K |
|
AUD |
Full Employment Change |
-22.1K |
|
80.0K |
|
AUD |
Unemployment Rate |
5.8% |
6.0% |
6.1% |
|
CNY |
Chinese Exports (YoY) |
-6.6% |
4.0% |
-18.1% |
|
CNY |
Chinese Imports (YoY) |
-11.3% |
2.4% |
10.1% |
|
CNY |
Chinese Trade Balance |
7.71B |
0.90B |
-22.98B |
|
GBP |
BoE QE Total |
|
375B |
375B |
|
GBP |
Interest Rate Decision |
|
0.50% |
0.50% |
|
CAD |
New Housing Price Index (MoM) |
|
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims |
|
320K |
326K |
|
USD |
Federal Budget Balance |
|
-78.0B |
-193.5B |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the EUR, GBP, CAD and USD
Date |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Apr. 11 |
CNY |
2.5% |
2.0% |
|
|
CNY |
-2.2% |
-2.0% |
|
|
CNY |
-0.5% |
0.5% |
|
|
USD |
0.2% |
-0.2% |
|
|
USD |
0.1% |
-0.1% |
|
|
USD |
81.0 |
80.0 |
|
|
USD |
71.4 |
70.0 |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Apr 11 09:10 Italy
Apr 14 09:30 Germany
Apr 15 09:30 Belgium
Apr 15 14:30 UK
Apr 16 09:03 Sweden
Apr 16 09:30 Germany
Apr 17 09:00 Slovakia
Apr 17 15:00 US
Apr 17 15:30 Italy