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USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis December 28, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 02:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The USD/CAD is trading at 0.9926 as the CAD gained some momentum today on disappointing US eco data. Jobless numbers and

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis December 28, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD is trading at 0.9926 as the CAD gained some momentum today on disappointing US eco data. Jobless numbers and Housing sales disappointed coming in slightly below expectations but were overall market neutral. CAD is strong, up 0.3% vs the USD and in line with most of the majors as the focus remains on US fiscal negotiations. Resistance for USDCAD continues to be seen at the 50 day MA (0.9939), and the absence of domestic data will leave movement driven by broader market sentiment. Both oil prices and equity futures are flat.

There is little in the way of eco news or data that will support either currency, so markets remain focused on US lawmakers and will react accordingly as the press will fill the headlines later today.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 27, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 27

 

GBP

 

 

BBA Mortgage Approvals 

33.6K

 

34.6K 

 

33.1K 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Initial Jobless Claims 

350K

 

360K 

 

362K 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Continuing Jobless Claims 

3206K

 

3200K 

 

3238K 

   

 

 

MXN

 

 

Mexican Trade Balance 

-1.273B

 

-0.700B 

 

-1.647B 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

CB Consumer Confidence 

65.1

 

70.0 

 

71.5 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

New Home Sales 

377K

 

378K 

 

361K 

   

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 28

07:45

 

EUR

 

 

French Consumer Spending (MoM) 

 

 

0.1% 

 

-0.2% 

 

 

 

07:45

 

EUR

 

 

French GDP (QoQ) 

 

 

0.2% 

 

0.2% 

 

 

 

08:30

 

SEK

 

 

Swedish Retail Sales (MoM) 

 

 

0.20% 

 

-1.70% 

 

 

 

10:10

 

EUR

 

 

Italian 10-Year BTP Auction 

 

 

 

 

4.45% 

 

 

 

14:45

 

USD

 

 

Chicago PMI 

 

 

51.0 

 

50.4 

 

 

 

15:00

 

USD

 

 

Pending Home Sales (MoM) 

 

 

1.0% 

 

5.2% 

 

 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CAD and USD

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country

None Scheduled Until 2013 

 

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