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USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis December 4, 2013 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 22, 2015, 18:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The USD/CAD climbed by 3 points today as the US dollar eased against most of its trading partners. The CAD is still hurting

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis December 4, 2013 Forecast

usdcad tuesday bns
Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD climbed by 3 points today as the US dollar eased against most of its trading partners. The CAD is still hurting over the drop in crude oil prices and the decline of the spread against Alberta oil compounded by the hard drop in gold. The CAD is trading at 1.0646 today as the US session begins. Investors otherwise remained fixated on Federal Reserve’s plans for winding down the stimulus program that has helped drive this year’s huge rally in global risk assets.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, the benchmark for the world’s borrowing costs, were hovering just under the high of 2.8 percent they hit on Monday after global data signaled world growth was still gathering steam. The U.S. Institute for Supply Management’s index of national factory activity rose in November to its best showing since April 2011. Hiring has also accelerated.

Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report is expected to offer more clues as to when the Fed will start reducing its monthly $85 billion bond purchases.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 3, 2013 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 03

 

AUD

 

 

Current Account 

-12.7B

 

-11.6B 

 

-12.1B 

   

 

 

AUD

 

 

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.5%

 

0.4% 

 

0.9% 

   

 

 

AUD

 

 

Interest Rate Decision 

2.50%

 

2.50% 

 

2.50% 

 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

RBA Rate Statement 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TRY

 

 

Turkish CPI (MoM) 

0.01%

 

0.50% 

 

1.80% 

 

 

 

 

EUR

 

 

Spanish Unemployment Change 

-2.5K

 

44.3K 

 

87.0K 

 

 

 

 

TRY

 

 

Turkish CPI (YoY) 

7.32%

 

7.82% 

 

7.71% 

 

 

 

 

NOK

 

 

Norwegian Core Retail Sales (MoM) 

-1.00%

 

0.20% 

 

0.70% 

 

 

 

 

GBP

 

 

Construction PMI 

62.6

 

59.0 

 

59.4 

   

 

usdcad  1203bnsnla

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CAD and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Dec. 04

01:45

CNY

Chinese HSBC Services PMI 

 

52.6

 

13:15

USD

ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 

165K

130K

 

13:30

CAD

Trade Balance 

-1.00B

-0.44B

 

13:30

USD

Trade Balance 

-40.10B

-41.80B

 

13:30

CAD

Exports 

40.00B

40.65B

 

15:00

CAD

Interest Rate Decision 

1.00%

1.00%

 

15:00

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 

55.0

55.4

 

15:00

USD

New Home Sales 

430K

 

 

15:00

USD

New Home Sales (MoM) 

   

 

15:00

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment 

 

56.2

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 04 10:30 Germany

Dec 04 10:30 Portugal

Dec 04 15:30 Sweden

Dec 05 09:30 Spain

Dec 05 09:50 France

Dec 05 10:10 Sweden

Dec 05 12:00 Norway

Dec 05 16:00 US

Dec 06 16:30 Italy

 

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