Advertisement
Advertisement

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis January 30, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 23, 2015, 00:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The USD/CAD is flat today while traders await the Federal Reserve decision. The pair is trading at 1.1152 close to its

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis January 30, 2014 Forecast

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis January 30, 2014 Forecast
USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis January 30, 2014 Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD is flat today while traders await the Federal Reserve decision. The pair is trading at 1.1152 close to its recent high. The Canadian dollar drifted lower Tuesday ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting Wednesday that could signal how much confidence the Fed has in the U.S. recovery. Markets have been severely buffeted over the last few sessions on concerns about emerging markets and plunging currencies in countries such as Turkey, Argentina and China. But on Tuesday, stocks seemed to recover, buoyed by decisions in India and Argentina to raise interest rates.

The market is being influenced by anticipation that the Fed will announce another $10 billion reduction in its monthly bond purchases to $65 billion later today. That would indicate the U.S. central bank has confidence in the U.S. economic recovery and could put further pressure on the loonie and other currencies. Now the money underpinning currencies in emerging markets is flowing out, heading for the greenback and forcing emerging market currencies lower. The loonie is a victim of the same rush to the U.S. dollar. Some experts believe the Canadian dollar will fall as low as 85 cents before the slide stops.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data January 29, 2014 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Jan. 29

 

TRY

 

 

Turkish Interest Rate 

10.00%

 

6.50% 

 

4.50% 

 

 

 

 

TRY

 

 

Turkish Overnight Rate 

12.00%

 

10.00% 

 

7.75% 

 

 

 

 

EUR

 

 

GfK German Consumer Climate 

8.2

 

7.6 

 

7.7 

   

 

 

GBP

 

 

Nationwide HPI (MoM) 

0.7%

 

0.6% 

 

1.4% 

 

 

 

 

HUF

 

 

Hungarian Unemployment

9.1%

 

9.4% 

 

9.3% 

 

 

 

 

NOK

 

 

Norwegian Unemployment

3.5%

 

3.3% 

 

3.4% 

   

 

 

EUR

 

 

German 10-Year Bund Auction 

1.770%

 

 

 

1.690% 

 

 

 

 

GBP

 

 

BoE Gov Carney Speaks 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Interest Rate Decision 

 

 

0.25% 

 

0.25% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

FOMC Statement 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

USDCAD(60 minutes)20140129135111

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the EUR, GBP, CAD and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jan. 30

01:45

CNY

Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI 

 

49.6

 

08:00

EUR

Spanish GDP (QoQ) 

0.3%

0.1%

 

08:55

EUR

German Unemployment Change 

-5K

-15K

 

13:30

USD

GDP Price Index (QoQ) 

1.2%

2.0%

 

13:30

USD

GDP (QoQ) 

3.3%

4.1%

 

13:30

USD

Real Consumer Spending 

 

2.0%

 

15:00

USD

Pending Home Sales (MoM) 

0.3%

0.2%

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Jan 30 01:30 Japan

Jan 30 10:03 Sweden

Jan 30 10:10 Italy

Jan 30 18:00 US

Jan 31 10:03 Sweden

Feb 03 10:00 Norway

Feb 03 10:03 Sweden

Feb 04 10:03 Sweden

Feb 04 10:15 Austria

Feb 04 10:30 Belgium

Feb 04 10:30 UK

 

About the Author

Advertisement