Analysis and Recommendations: The USD/CAD is flat today while traders await the Federal Reserve decision. The pair is trading at 1.1152 close to its
The USD/CAD is flat today while traders await the Federal Reserve decision. The pair is trading at 1.1152 close to its recent high. The Canadian dollar drifted lower Tuesday ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting Wednesday that could signal how much confidence the Fed has in the U.S. recovery. Markets have been severely buffeted over the last few sessions on concerns about emerging markets and plunging currencies in countries such as Turkey, Argentina and China. But on Tuesday, stocks seemed to recover, buoyed by decisions in India and Argentina to raise interest rates.
The market is being influenced by anticipation that the Fed will announce another $10 billion reduction in its monthly bond purchases to $65 billion later today. That would indicate the U.S. central bank has confidence in the U.S. economic recovery and could put further pressure on the loonie and other currencies. Now the money underpinning currencies in emerging markets is flowing out, heading for the greenback and forcing emerging market currencies lower. The loonie is a victim of the same rush to the U.S. dollar. Some experts believe the Canadian dollar will fall as low as 85 cents before the slide stops.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data January 29, 2014 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Jan. 29 |
|
TRY |
|
|
Turkish Interest Rate |
10.00% |
|
6.50% |
|
4.50% |
|
|
|
|
TRY |
|
|
Turkish Overnight Rate |
12.00% |
|
10.00% |
|
7.75% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
GfK German Consumer Climate |
8.2 |
|
7.6 |
|
7.7 |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Nationwide HPI (MoM) |
0.7% |
|
0.6% |
|
1.4% |
|
|
|
|
HUF |
|
|
Hungarian Unemployment |
9.1% |
|
9.4% |
|
9.3% |
|
|
|
|
NOK |
|
|
Norwegian Unemployment |
3.5% |
|
3.3% |
|
3.4% |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German 10-Year Bund Auction |
1.770% |
|
|
|
1.690% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
BoE Gov Carney Speaks |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
|
|
0.25% |
|
0.25% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
FOMC Statement |
|
|
|
|
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the EUR, GBP, CAD and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Jan. 30 |
01:45 |
CNY |
49.6 |
||
|
08:00 |
EUR |
0.3% |
0.1% |
|
|
08:55 |
EUR |
-5K |
-15K |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
1.2% |
2.0% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
3.3% |
4.1% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
2.0% |
||
|
15:00 |
USD |
0.3% |
0.2% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Jan 30 01:30 Japan
Jan 30 10:03 Sweden
Jan 30 10:10 Italy
Jan 30 18:00 US
Jan 31 10:03 Sweden
Feb 03 10:00 Norway
Feb 03 10:03 Sweden
Feb 04 10:03 Sweden
Feb 04 10:15 Austria
Feb 04 10:30 Belgium
Feb 04 10:30 UK