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USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis – August 6, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Aug 5, 2015, 04:15 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The USD/JPY is up 5 points as the greenback rallied after comments from Fed member Lockhart. Investors regard Mr. Lockhart as

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis – August 6, 2015 – Forecast

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Analysis and Recommendation:

The USD/JPY is up 5 points as the greenback rallied after comments from Fed member Lockhart. Investors regard Mr. Lockhart as a centrist among Fed officials, so his words sent a strong signal that the Fed is moving closer to raising interest rates at its September meeting. Investors anticipate that a strong U.S. jobs report for July, which will be released Friday, will move the Fed ever closer to raising interest rates from near zero. Mr. Lockhart mentioned that U.S. employment data have generated “positive signals.” Economists forecast that the U.S. added 215,000 jobs last month.

The dollar later slipped below ¥124 again in line with its weakness against the Australian dollar, which drew demand after the Australian central bank decided to leave its key interest rate unchanged at a record low of 2.0 percent at its policy-setting meeting.

After European players joined trading in late hours, the dollar came under renewed selling pressure and briefly fell below ¥123.90. Still, the dollar avoided a further decline as it attracted buying on dips at levels around ¥123.80, market sources said.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  CNY

 

Caixin Services PMI (Jul)

53.8

52.2

51.8

   

 

USDJPY(60 minutes)20150805064626

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Thursday, August 6, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  AUD

 

Employment Change (Jul)

 

15.0K

7.3K

 

 

  GBP

 

Manufacturing Production (Jun)

 

0.2%

-0.6%

 

 

  GBP

 

BoE Inflation Report

 

 

 

 

 

  GBP

 

Interest Rate Decision (Aug)

 

0.50%

0.50%

 

 

  GBP

 

BoE MPC Meeting Minutes

 

 

 

 

 

  GBP

 

BoE Gov Carney Speaks  

 

 

     

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Aug 06 10:30 Spain Auctions Bonos

Aug 06 11:10 France Auctions OATs

Aug 10 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTP/CCTeu on 13 Aug

Aug 11 11:30 UK Auctions 0.125% 2058 I/L Gilt

Aug 12 11:30 Germany Eur 4bn Aug 2025 Bund

Aug 13 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

 

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