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USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis December 5, 2012 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 20, 2015, 23:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The USD/JPY saw the greenback lose a bit of momentum this morning to trade at 82.10. The market uncertainty along with

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis December 5, 2012 Forecast
USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis December 5, 2012 Forecast
USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis December 5, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation:

The USD/JPY saw the greenback lose a bit of momentum this morning to trade at 82.10. The market uncertainty along with political turmoil and the future plans for the Bank of Japan continue to weigh on the currency. This morning the yen rebounded a few pence as the greenback eased.

Speculators are projecting Shinto Abe to be the most likely Prime Minister and his plans and policies towards the Bank of Japan and the economy are confused and mixed. He wants to control the Bank of Japan and also force a higher inflation target and set rules that the bank will need to continue to ease until the rate is met. He would also use the bank to buy construction bonds, which failed many years ago leaving the country in deflation.

Traders are very worried, with eco data for Japan continuing to show poor results and the possibility for recession.

While the US dollar faces the upcoming fiscal cliff, but traders are sure that a last minute deal will be struck.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 4, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

Dec. 04

 

AUD

 

 

Building Approvals (MoM) 

-7.6%

 

-2.0%

 

9.5%

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

Current Account 

-14.9B

 

-14.8B

 

-12.4B

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

Interest Rate Decision 

3.00%

 

3.00%

 

3.25%

 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Dec. 05

00:30

AUD

GDP (QoQ) 

0.6%

0.6%

 

13:15

USD

ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 

125K

158K

 

13:30

USD

Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) 

2.7%

1.9%

 

13:30

USD

Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) 

-0.9%

-0.1%

 

15:00

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index 

53.5

54.2

 

20:00

NZD

Interest Rate Decision 

2.50%

2.50%

Dec. 07

00:30

AUD

Trade Balance 

-2.05B

-1.46B

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 05 09:30 Spain 

Dec 05 10:30 Germany 

Dec 05 11:00 Norway 

Dec 05 15:30 Sweden 

Dec 06 01:30 Japan 

Dec 06 09:50 France 

Dec 06 16:00 US 

Dec 07 16:30 Italy

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