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USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 27, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 25, 2015, 02:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The USD/JPY tumbled by 20 points as the US dollar weakened in the morning session after soaring on Thursday after positive US

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 27, 2014 Forecast
USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 27, 2014 Forecast
USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 27, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation:

The USD/JPY tumbled by 20 points as the US dollar weakened in the morning session after soaring on Thursday after positive US unemployment claims report on Thursday. The pair soared in late trading to well above the 108 level and is holding at 108.07 at this writing. The Japanese yen gained for the first time in seven days against the dollar after news said that a patient in New York City tested positive for Ebola, boosting demand for haven assets. Japan’s currency advanced at least 0.2 percent versus all of its 16 major counterparts after the New York Times said a further test will be conducted to confirm the initial finding without saying where it got its information. U.S. Treasuries gained, while futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index extended declines.

While the dollar has regained more than half the ground it has lost since Oct. 3, when it hit a six-year high just below ¥110. David Woo, head of global rates and currencies research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said he expects the dollar to end the year around ¥108, its current level.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Trade Balance (MoM)

-1,350M

-700M

-472M

 

 

  NZD

 

Trade Balance (YoY)

650M

1,510M

2,020M

 

 

USDJPY(15 minutes)20141024050111

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

Holiday

New Zealand – Labour Day

 

  EUR

 

German Business Expect

 

98.4

99.3

 

 

  EUR

 

German Current Assess

 

109.5

110.5

 

 

  EUR

 

German Ifo Climate Ind

 

104.1

104.7

 

 

  USD

 

Pending Home Sales 

 

0.3%

-1.0%

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country Auction

Oct 27 12:30 Germany Eur 2.0bn new 12M Bubill (Oct 2015) auction

Oct 27 18:30 Italy Announces details of BTP/CCTeu auctions on Oct 30

Oct 27 12:10 Italy BTPei/CTZ auctions

Oct 28 12:10 Italy BOT auction

Oct 28 19:00 US 2Y Note auction

Oct 29 12:03 Sweden Bond auction

Oct 29 12:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Aug 2024 Bund auction

Oct 29 17:30 US 2Y FRN auction

Oct 29 19:00 US 5Y Note auction

Oct 30 12:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auctions

Oct 30 19:00 US 7Y Note auction

 

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