After slipping below 100-day SMA support on Friday, USDJPY weakened further on Monday and settled below 98.00 (97.90) for the first time after June 27. On
After slipping below 100-day SMA support on Friday, USDJPY weakened further on Monday and settled below 98.00 (97.90) for the first time after June 27.
On Tuesday, JPY initially weakened against USD after disappointing Japanese Industrial Production. USDJPY, however, gave up its initial gains and is currently trading below the 98.00 mark.
USDJPY is heading towards a very important support near 97.30 – 97.10 zone representing 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci Retracement Levels of 103.73 – 93.78 downfall and 93.78 – 101.53 recent up-move.
Should the pair decisively break below 97.30 – 97.10 support zone, the pair could possibly witness a fresh round of near-term weakness towards sub 93.00 levels with intermediate support near 96.00 – 95.80 zone.
On the upside, 98.70 region is likely to provide immediate resistance for the currency pair.
Should the pair manage to hold 97.30 – 97.10 important support and decisively strengthen above 98.70 immediate resistance zone, the pair seems to extend the up-move initially towards 100-day SMA, currently near 99.30 zone, and further towards 99.90 resistance marked by Fibonacci Cluster resistance and a descending trend-line extending from 2013 high and joining through highs formed in the month of July.
Furthermore, a decisive strength above 99.90 resistance or 100 round figure mark would indicate a strong momentum for the currency pair and the pair could retest 101.50 level (July high).
Thus, 97.30 – 97.10 zone seems to act as an important pivot for the near-term direction of the currency pair.