WTI Crude Oil Daily Analysis – September 25, 2017

Crude oil prices inch lower on Monday morning on low volume. Although prices trade slightly lower, the sentiment is still bullish.

The Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said: “I believe that January is the earliest date when we can actually, credibly speak about the state of the market,” whereas, other ministers suggested a decision could come this year.

Technical Outlook

Crude oil 4H chart has formed the “Ascending triangle” pattern. The market is ready to break the triangle which is close to the crucial place and as per pattern, it wouldn’t take much longer. Consolidation is almost over and it’s likely to move towards $55. The Current market’s momentum is strongly bullish and is expected to move towards $52 level soon.

Prices sustained above $50.75 on the weekly & daily chart which indicates bullish strength. A break above and close of the four-hour candle could lead to high buying pressure. A break below the support line could lead to a selling pressure towards 49.20 level.

Medium Term

The crude oil trend gives us the impression that the lower highs and lower lows are constantly repeated. Since Feb 2017, it’s first-time that crude oil prices break through lower high which is an indication of trend reversal from negative to positive momentum towards $52-55.

On the daily chart, the 50-day moving average crossed over 100-day moving average at $47.40, indicating bullish momentum.

In the view of price action, a 50-day moving average is likely to crossover 200 day moving average towards $55.