XRP (XRP) price showed signs of stabilizing around $1.40 on Friday as easing oil prices, renewed optimism over US crypto legislation, and contrarian derivatives signals helped offset fresh signs of weakening activity on the XRP Ledger’s decentralized exchange.
Oil prices fell on Friday after reports that the US may intervene in futures markets and allow more Russian crude purchases to ease war-driven supply stress.
President Trump’s energy agenda has resulted in oil and gas production reaching the highest levels ever recorded.
To enable oil to keep flowing into the global market, the Treasury Department is issuing a temporary 30-day waiver to allow Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil.…
— Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (@SecScottBessent) March 6, 2026
Brent slipped by over 2% to about $83, and WTI by around 2.40% to $78.65 after a multi-session surge tied to the Middle East conflict.
That matters for XRP because oil has become the war’s main market transmission channel: when crude rises, investors worry more about inflation and delayed rate cuts, which typically hurts risk assets such as crypto.
A cooling oil market could therefore reduce some of the macro pressure weighing on XRP.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse backed Washington’s renewed push for crypto market-structure legislation. That put the CLARITY Act back in focus for XRP investors.
An extremely pointed message from @POTUS to those who are dragging their feet on CLARITY.
This is, and always has been, about what’s in the best interest of the American people. pic.twitter.com/t1CIFBOBg4
— Brad Garlinghouse (@bgarlinghouse) March 3, 2026
The bill aims to reduce regulatory confusion by setting clearer rules around how digital assets are classified and overseen in the US.
Traders generally see clearer rules as a bullish long-term signal. Such regulations can support exchange confidence, institutional participation, and broader product development around crypto assets like XRP.
XRP is flashing a potential contrarian bullish signal in the derivatives market, even as the broader crypto backdrop remains shaky, according to Darkfost, a CryptoQuant-associated on-chain analyst.
Funding rates on Binance have turned deeply negative while XRP trades in the $1.35 to $1.50 range, showing that a large share of leveraged traders are still betting on more downside.
That matters because extreme negative funding rates often reflect overcrowded bearish positioning. When too many traders lean short at the same time, the market can move the other way and trigger a rebound as those positions get squeezed.
Historically, similar funding-rate extremes on Binance have often been followed by short-term XRP rallies or relief bounces.
The signal does not confirm that XRP has found a long-term bottom, especially after its roughly 60% correction in recent months. But it suggests that bearish sentiment may have become stretched.
XRP Ledger’s DEX activity has weakened notably in recent weeks, with its volume dropping to about $5.1 million on March 3 from roughly $30 million in early February.
For XRP, this can be read as a near-term bearish signal, as falling DEX volume often indicates softer speculative demand, weaker trader participation, and less on-chain activity across the ecosystem.
It does not automatically mean XRP price must fall, but it suggests that one part of the network’s internal market activity is losing momentum.
Still, this signal is best viewed alongside other XRP indicators such as exchange flows, funding rates, and broader macro sentiment. On its own, lower XRPL DEX volume shows cooling participation, but not necessarily a full breakdown in the broader XRP market.
Yashu Gola is a crypto journalist and analyst with expertise in digital assets, blockchain, and macroeconomics. He provides in-depth market analysis, technical chart patterns, and insights on global economic impacts. His work bridges traditional finance and crypto, offering actionable advice and educational content. Passionate about blockchain's role in finance, he studies behavioral finance to predict memecoin trends.