XRP (XRP) could be gearing up for a face-melting rally this year if a widely-watched fractal plays out as it did in 2017.
A side-by-side chart comparison from Coinvo, published on TradingView, reveals a nearly identical price structure between XRP’s 2017 breakout and its ongoing 2025 consolidation.
Both setups form a converging triangle: a technical pattern typically marked by declining volatility and eventual explosive moves.
In 2017, XRP consolidated inside a symmetrical triangle for over six months before erupting nearly 10x from around $0.25 to $3.40 within weeks. The 2025 chart mirrors that structure, only with higher stakes.
The current consolidation, which began after XRP’s November 2024 peak near $3.50, has been compressing volatility between declining resistance and rising support.
Since the price has respected both trendlines cleanly, its likelihood of a decisive breakout by late Q3 or early Q4 2025 is high. If history rhymes, XRP could be poised to go “insanely parabolic,” as traders like Maxi have hinted on X.
The pattern is eerily similar, but macro conditions have changed.
In 2017, retail mania and ICO boom fueled XRP’s rise. In 2025, institutional interest in tokenization, XRP’s cross-border utility and ETF narrative, and clarity post-SEC settlement could provide the catalyst.
Technical analysis adds more weight to the bullish argument.
The symmetrical triangle on the daily XRP/USD chart shows price tightening within a classic breakout setup. The projected upside move, based on the height of the initial surge that began in late 2024, puts XRP en route to a $3.65 target, a 65% rally from current levels.
XRP continues to hold above both its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, which often act as dynamic support in bull markets.
Momentum indicators like RSI are hovering in neutral territory, suggesting there’s room for a large directional move without immediately running into overbought conditions.
Meanwhile, trading volume has steadily declined—a common prelude to volatility expansion once the breakout occurs. The triangle structure is still intact, and so is the bullish case, as long as XRP doesn’t break below support near $1.85.
Yashu Gola is a crypto journalist and analyst with expertise in digital assets, blockchain, and macroeconomics. He provides in-depth market analysis, technical chart patterns, and insights on global economic impacts. His work bridges traditional finance and crypto, offering actionable advice and educational content. Passionate about blockchain's role in finance, he studies behavioral finance to predict memecoin trends.