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United States Inflation Expectations

Last Release
Nov 2021
Actual
6 %
Forecast
N/A
Previous
5.7 %
Frequency
Monthly
Units In
%
Next Release
Feb 14, 2022
Time to Release
23 Days 3 Hours
Highest
Lowest
Average
Date Range
Source
6 %
Nov 2021
2.33 %
Oct 2019
2.99 %2013 - 2021Federal Reserve Bank of New York
In the US, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate and are part of the Survey of Consumer Expectations. The expectations are based on the nationally representative, internet-based survey of a rotating panel of approximately 1,300 heads of households.

Latest Updates

US consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead remained at a record 6% in December of 2021, the same as in November. Home price expectations rose to 5.5% from 5% in November but remained below their May 2021 peak. Also, uncertainty and disagreement about future inflation decreased and expectations about year-ahead price changes fell by 3.5 percentage points for the price of gas (to 5.7%), 1.4 percentage points for food (to 7.8%), and 1.0 percentage point for the cost of a college education (to 8.1%). At the same time, households reported increased optimism about their labor market prospects, with earnings growth, job loss, and job finding expectations all improving. Households' income growth expectations also improved, rising to a new series high. Meanwhile, the medium-term three-year inflation expectations were also steady at 4%.

United States Inflation Expectations History

Last 12 readings

Latest Releases and Calendar Events

DATETIMETITLE
Jan 10, 202216:08US Inflation Expectations Remain at Record High
Dec 13, 202116:03US Inflation Expectations Hit New Record at 6%
Nov 8, 202116:11US Inflation Expectations Break New High
Oct 12, 202115:12US Consumer Inflation Expectations Hit New High
Sep 13, 202115:11US Inflation Expectations Reach Record 5.2%
Aug 9, 202115:23US Consumer Inflation Expectations Hold at 4.8%

United States prices Indicators

All United States indicators
Indicator
Last
Previous
Min
Max
Unit
Frequency
Range
Core Inflation Rate
4.9
Nov 2021
4.6
Oct 2021
0
Dec 1957
13.6
Jun 1980
%Monthly1957 - 2021
Core Pce Price Index
119.47
Nov 2021
118.92
Oct 2021
16.73
Jan 1959
119.47
Nov 2021
pointsMonthly1959 - 2021
Core Producer Prices
129.8
Dec 2021
129.1
Nov 2021
99.9
Apr 2010
129.8
Dec 2021
pointsMonthly2010 - 2021
Cpi Housing Utilities
287.51
Dec 2021
286.31
Nov 2021
30.5
Jan 1967
287.51
Dec 2021
pointsMonthly1967 - 2021
Cpi Transportation
246.5
Dec 2021
245.53
Nov 2021
22.3
Apr 1950
246.5
Dec 2021
pointsMonthly1950 - 2021
Consumer Price Index CPI
280.19
Dec 2021
278.88
Nov 2021
23.51
Jan 1950
280.19
Dec 2021
pointsMonthly1950 - 2021

Inflation Expectations across North America

Inflation Expectations global view
Country
Last
Previous
Min
Max
Unit
Frequency
Range
Mexico
4.36
Dec 2021
4.11
Nov 2021
3.18
Apr 2021
17.21
Nov 1998
%Monthly1997 - 2021
United States
6
Nov 2021
5.7
Oct 2021
2.33
Oct 2019
6
Nov 2021
%Monthly2013 - 2021

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