United States PCE Price Index Monthly Change

The US PCE price index rose 0.3% month-over-month in September 2025, the same as in August and in line with expectations. Prices for goods jumped 0.5%, much higher than 0.1% in the previous period while prices of services rose at a slower 0.2%, compared to 0.3% in August. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.2%, also the same as in August and matching forecasts. Separately, prices for food increased 0.4%, after a 0.5% gain in the previous month and cost for energy goods and services soared 1.7%, after a 0.8% rise. On an annual basis, headline PCE inflation accelerated to 2.8%, the highest since April 2024, from 2.7% in August and matching expectations. On the other hand, core PCE inflation slowed to 2.8% from 2.9% in August and compared to forecasts it would remain at 2.9%. The PCE index remains the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. The release of the September report was delayed by over a month as a result of the government shutdown.