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Wall St pares gains, Treasury yields turn higher ahead of Powell testimony

By:
Reuters
Updated: Mar 6, 2023, 20:05 GMT+00:00

By Wayne Cole SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian shares edged up on Monday while bond markets held their breath ahead of an update on the U.S. rate outlook from the world's most powerful central banker, and a jobs report that could decide if the next hike needs to be super-sized.

A pedestrian holding her mobile phone walks past electronic boards showing Japan's Nikkei average

By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Wall Street edged higher and the greenback softened on Monday as investors weighed China growth expectations and a drop in U.S. factory orders, while looking ahead to U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony and crucial jobs data later in the week.

All three major U.S. stock indexes were modestly higher, although well off session highs, Treasury yields reversed an earlier dip and the dollar pared its losses in afternoon trading.

“You’re going to have market reactions like this, where investors take advantage of an early rally ahead some potentially market moving events,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “It’s indicative of a market that’s playing it close to the vest.”

“It’s trendless in anticipation,” Carlson added.

A drop in U.S. factory orders followed modest growth estimates from China, boosting hopes that economic softening could translate to cooling inflation.

On Tuesday and Wednesday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is due to deliver his semi-annual testimony before Congress, which will be closely parsed for any clues regarding the extent and duration of the central bank’s restrictive monetary policy aimed at curbing inflation.

Further down the road, the Labor Department’s much-anticipated February employment report is expected on Friday. Any signs of softening in the robust jobs market will be seen as a sign that the Fed’s hawkish tactics are having their desired effect.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 13.42 points, or 0.04%, to 33,404.39, the S&P 500 gained 7.02 points, or 0.17%, to 4,052.66 and the Nasdaq Composite added 16.06 points, or 0.14%, to 11,705.07.

European shares reversed an earlier advance to close essentially unchanged after European Central Bank officials hinted at more interest rate increases, following softer-than-expected euro zone retail sales.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.02% and MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.33%.

Emerging market stocks rose 0.57%. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.44% higher, while Japan’s Nikkei rose 1.11%.

Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields were last nominally higher on the day, bouncing back from initial decline.

Benchmark 10-year notes last fell 6/32 in price to yield 3.9871%, from 3.963% late on Friday.

The 30-year bond last fell 17/32 in price to yield 3.9171%, from 3.887% late on Friday.

The dollar lost ground against a basket of world currencies ahead of Powell’s testimony and the jobs data.

The dollar index fell 0.12%, with the euro up 0.35% to $1.0671.

The Japanese yen weakened 0.11% versus the greenback at 136.03 per dollar, while sterling was last trading at $1.2018, down 0.18% on the day.

Crude prices, rebounded to modest gains after a debate over supply tightness by oil company executives offset worries over softening supply following China’s low-end growth projections.

U.S. crude rose 0.98% to settle at $80.46 per barrel and Brent settled at $86.18 up 0.41% on the day.

Gold consolidated recent gains.

Spot gold dropped 0.5% to $1,846.12 an ounce.

(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Yoruk Bahceli and Wayne Cole; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta and Nick Zieminski)

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