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Bitcoin – December Starts on a High, the Bulls Now in Need of Momentum

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Dec 2, 2018, 03:55 UTC

It's been a choppy start to the day, with Bitcoin and the broader market giving up early gains that could weigh later in the day.

crypto-market-crash

Bitcoin gained 5.02% on Saturday, reversing most of Friday’s 6.56% slide, to end the day at $4,241.3, the recovery taking Bitcoin into positive territory for the current week.

Friday’s reversal continued into the early hours of Saturday, with Bitcoin falling to a mid-morning intraday low $3,964.5, before finding support, the first major support level at $3,870.07 left untested on the day.

A late morning broad based cryptomarket weekend rally of old was needed to pull Bitcoin back through to $4,000 levels, with Bitcoin breaking through the first major resistance level at $4,288.87 to a late afternoon intraday high $4,340 before easing back to $4,200 levels.

For the Bitcoin bulls, support at sub-$4,000 levels has been key over the last 2-days, with a sharp rebound on Saturday morning reflective of the volatility that has returned to the cryptomarket of late, the issue being a lack of direction, with gains being met with losses and vice versa.

Unsurprisingly, there is some investor caution following a particularly dire November, with early profit taking to be expected that could ultimately pin Bitcoin back from a breakout near-term.

The  news wires are unlikely to deliver anything too market positive, with the SEC expected to sit on its hands over the Bitcoin ETF decision, the only possible positive being a ruling by the U.S Department of Justice that there had been no price manipulation during the late 2017 rally that saw Bitcoin come up shy of $20,000 levels.

The cryptomarket’s total market cap recovered to $139.2bn, supported not only by Bitcoin’s recovery, but more significant gains for Litecoin and Cardano’s ADA, with Ethereum managing to close the gap on Ripple’s that continues to hold the number 2 spot.

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At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down 0.04% to $4,239.4, with a bullish start to the day seeing Bitcoin rise to a morning high $4,369.8 before hitting reverse, the day’s first major support level at $4,399.37 left untested early on.

For the day ahead, holding onto $4,200 levels through the morning will be key to support a second weekend rally, with a break through to $4,300 levels bringing the day’s first major resistance level at $4,399.37 and $4,400 levels into play.

The Bitcoin bulls are in dire need of momentum to break clear of sub-$4,000 levels that leaves a lingering possibility of a reversal to sub-$3,000 levels.

Failure to hold onto $4,200 levels could see Bitcoin cough up Saturday’s gains, with a fall through to $4,100 levels bringing the day’s first major support level at $4,023.87 into play before any recovery, though much will depend upon the broader market on whether Bitcoin will once again test sub-$4,000 support levels that have kicked in at the right time till now.

BTC/USD 02/12/18 Daily Chart

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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