Soybeans, Corn down; Wheat at 4-month lows

The trend in futures of wheat is clearly bearish with the unit extending declines steadily from the 4.77 area traded on August 29. Earlier in the day, the unit broke below the 4.62 area and after a small pullback, it extended loses to test the 4.56 level.
Mauricio Carrillo
Soybeans, Corn down; Wheat at 4-month lows
Soybeans, Corn down; Wheat at 4-month lows

Corn, soybeans and other soft futures such as wheat are trading down on Monday as investors are digesting the last set of tariffs on Chinese products, improved weather and supply conditions.

Soybeans start trading with a negative gap

ZS1 Soybean 1-hour chart September 3
ZC1 Corn 1-hour chart September 3

Futures of soybeans are trading negative on Tuesday as investors are digesting improved weather forecast and concerns amid the trade war and the new set of tariffs that the United States put on play Sunday.

Soybeans are currently trading 0.60% negative in the session after opening the day with a negative gap at 8.66. Then, the unit fell to be bought as cheap as 8.59, where it found support. It is now at 8.64.

Technical indicators suggest more room for the downside with Momentum, Awesome Oscillator and MACD signaling bearish conditions in the 1-hour chart.

However, in the bigger picture, soybeans are trading in a range between 8.55 and 8.80.

Soybean investors were slightly less dovish last week as the CoT showed that net short positions were declined to 75,551 in the August 27 week from 76,820.

Corn falls for the third session and tests the 3.64 area

ZW1 Wheat 1-hour chart September 3

Corn is trading negative for the third session as the unit is testing the 3.64 area as investors are digesting improved weather conditions in the last days.

According to the CoT report, investors increased their net-short positions in corn to 96,370 in the week of August 27, the highest level in three months. Up from 82,266 the previous week.

So, with investors betting on lower prices, Corn futures look ready to break below the 3.64 area. Besides, technical indicators in the 1-hour chart are also signaling for more drops in the next few hours.

Below 3.64, corn will find support at 3.63 and then 3.60. Finally, the grain would open the door for a retest of the 3.58 area, August’s lows.

Wheat extends decline to lowest since May 16

Futures of wheat are trading down for the fourth negative day as investors are digesting reports of abundant global supplies. However, the CoT report showed that net short contracts declined to 37,330 for hard-red winter futures contracts in the week of August 27, down from 40,404 the previous week.

The trend in futures of wheat is clearly bearish with the unit extending declines steadily from the 4.77 area traded on August 29. Earlier in the day, the unit broke below the 4.62 area and after a small pullback, it extended loses to test the 4.56 level.

Currently, Wheat futures are trading at 4.57’6, which is 1.05% negative on the day. In the one-hour chart, technical indicators are mixed with oscillators going north but Momentum and moving averages signaling for more drops. So, a brief period of consolidation is expected around 4,58, but the big picture remains bearish.

Wheat will see next support at 4.53, then, 4.50 and the 4.30 area. To the upside, ZW1! is contained by the 4.60 area and then, 4.62 will act as resistance.

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