Australian stocks dropped sharply on Thursday due to pressure on investor sentiment from rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions. The S&P/ASX 200 dropped 1.31% to close at 8,629 points.
This decline was due to increase in oil prices back towards $100 per barrel amid growing conflict in the Middle East. The rise in energy prices raised fears of inflation and economic growth. As a result, investors were less exposed to risk assets and moved cautiously across most sectors of market.
The selling pressure was widespread across whole Australian market on Thursday session. Due to the fear of escalation of war, the technology stocks feel the impact of crisis. The ASX 200 Information Technology Index dropped 3.45%.
Real estate investment trusts also experienced heavy losses with ASX 200 A-REIT Index decreasing 2.55% as investors shifted away from interest rate sensitive sectors. On the other hand, gold stocks could not find safe-haven demand, with the All Ordinaries Gold Index falling 2.01%.
The ASX 200 Materials Index was down 1.6% and the Healthcare Index was down 1.48%. The chart below shows that the Materials Index is trading within the ascending broadening wedge pattern. A break below 21,300 will break the pattern and introduce a strong drop. Since the materials sectors in one of the biggest sectors of ASX 200, this drop will introduce strong decline in the ASX 200.
Moreover, the financial stocks dropped 1.45% as banks came under renewed pressure from risk off sentiment. Consumer discretionary, industrials, communication services, consumer staples and utilities sectors also finished lower.
The sector that gained on Thursday was energy with the ASX 200 Energy Index up 2.08% as investors looked to position for higher oil and coal prices. This sector will likely benefit in the short-term due to the formation of bullish price action on technical charts. This bullish pattern is observed in the chart below as an inverted head and shoulders.
Energy stocks were a good performer because of rising fears of supply disruptions worldwide. Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have raised fears that shipping routes will disrupt huge amount of oil supplied to world. These concerns saw coal prices rise back towards $140/tonne. This is close to the highest levels since late 2024 as Asians sought other sources of energy.
Coal producers were helped by this shift in market sentiment. Whitehaven Coal, New Hope Corporation and Yancoal are very sensitive to thermal coal prices. A slight increase in benchmark prices can have huge effect on their free cash flow. Their good balance sheets and long-standing dividend policies also make them attractive to investors who are seeking steady income from commodity revenues. The chart below shows a positive momentum in these companies in 2026.
Rising energy costs threw new challenges at consumer focused companies. Increases in the cost of fuel and transport affect the cost of business and purchasing power of households. As a result, some consumer discretionary stocks took heavy losses in Thursday’s trading session.
Companies such as Lovisa Holdings, Guzman y Gomez and Super Retail Group lost over 5% as markets adjusted their expectations for weaker consumer demand.
Buy-now-pay-later provider ZIP Co also dropped sharply, reflecting fears that rising living expenses may hurt the quality of credit in consumer lending portfolios. Wealth management platforms such as HUB24 and Netwealth Group deteriorated with investors decreasing exposure to high valuation growth stocks in volatile trading environment.
These companies will likely show negative price action during the next few weeks due to emergence of negative price action during the past six months, as shown in the chart below.
The near term outlook for the ASX 200 is likely to be dependent on developments in world energy markets and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. If oil prices continue moving higher, there may be increased fears of inflation, which will continue to pressure equity markets. Investors should also be cautious as increasing energy costs could have a negative impact on consumer spending and corporate margins.
However, stabilisation in oil prices or signs of easing tensions could be helpful to markets after the recent sell-off. Energy and resource stocks could still perform well given that commodity prices are high. At the same time, broader market sentiment will be a factor in whether investors regain confidence in global growth and inflation expectations in the coming sessions.
Muhammad Umair is a finance MBA and engineering PhD. As a seasoned financial analyst specializing in currencies and precious metals, he combines his multidisciplinary academic background to deliver a data-driven, contrarian perspective. As founder of Gold Predictors, he leads a team providing advanced market analytics, quantitative research, and refined precious metals trading strategies.