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AUD/USD Price Forecast – Australian dollar continues to grind sideways

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: May 29, 2019, 16:12 UTC

The Forex world has been quiet for the last several days, and of course the Australian dollar isn’t any different. Australia is a bit different right now though for us, because quite frankly there is a housing bubble worry about and of course the US/China trade relations. That being said, all roads lead to Beijing and Washington when it comes to this pair.

AUD/USD daily chart, May 30, 2019

The Australian dollar did very little on Wednesday, but quite frankly that’s what supports world did, simply sat still. There’s a severe lack of news to move the markets, so it’s hard to believe that we are going to see a major move in the short term. Beyond that, we are essentially in a range bound market here, as well as many of the other major pairs. I believe at this point the 0.68 level underneath is massive support, with the 0.70 level about being massive resistance. Because we are trading just slightly above the 0.69 level, we are essentially at “fair value” as far as the market is concerned.

AUD/USD Video 30.05.19

However, this pair will move up and down with the sentiment surrounding the US/China trade negotiations more than anything else. Lately things have been souring but we haven’t seen any major moves by either one of the powers involved. As long as that’s the case, we may be able to avoid some type of major meltdown. However, if things get ugly and get worse rather quickly, it’s likely that we will see this pair dropped drastically, perhaps to the 0.68 level and down to the 0.65 level.

On the other hand, if we get some type settled negotiation, this is probably the first currency parish be looking to buy, because it should go much higher, at least the 0.72 handle on its way to 0.75.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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