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Aussie Strength Targets 0.72775 as Renko Trend Holds Bullish

By
Cedric Thompson
Published: May 14, 2026, 02:00 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • AUD is showing broad strength, gaining against the USD, EUR, GBP and JPY, which suggests the move is being driven by real Aussie demand rather than just a weak dollar.
  • Australia’s home loans data is a mild warning sign, with owner occupied lending falling 4.3% QoQ.
  • AUD/USD is in an upward trend after bouncing off the 50-SMA and is targeting the 0.72715-0.72775 resistance zone.
Aussie Strength Targets 0.72775 as Renko Trend Holds Bullish

AUD/USD remains supported as broad Aussie strength, improving AUD/JPY momentum and a very constructive Renko structure has demand intact. But the softer home loans print adds some caution to the medium term economic picture of Australia.

AUD Outperforms as AUD/USD Holds Firm

AUD is in a bit of a bid. It’s up about 0.10% against the Dollar. It’s also stronger against the Euro, Pound and Yen so this isn’t just a weak USD play. There’s underlying demand for the currency. There’s still negotiations going on between the US and Iran so that could put the USD in bid very quickly but for now there’s positive movements for AUD.

Currency Heat Map Shows AUD Gaining Against, USD, EUR, GBP & JPY

Currency heat map showing the Australian dollar stronger against USD, EUR, GBP and JPY, while NZD weakens broadly across major currency pairs. Source: FXEmpire.com

Australia Home Loans Drop as Housing Demand Cools

After a strong 9.4% jump in February, May slipped to -4.3%, which suggests housing demand is losing some steam. This can dampen the economic prospects of Australia and potentially hurt the Aussie if this weakness continues. But at this time the trend is still positive for AUD/USD.

Australia Owner-Occupied Home Loans Fell 4.3% QoQ in May 2026

Bar chart showing Australia owner-occupied home loans quarter-over-quarter, with May 2026 falling 4.3% after a strong 9.4% rise in February 2026 Source: TradingView

AUD/JPY Renko Breakout Keeps Aussie Bulls in Control

AUD/JPY, which is another proxy for AUD strength and Asian risk, broke through its Supertrend indicator and is heading towards resistance around the 114.305 level. The RSI is above 60 and also the Z-Score SMA is trending higher and near the 1 level. It seems things are very positive for the Aussie and very negative for the Yen when looking at this Renko structure.

AUD/JPY 0.225-Brick Renko Chart Showing a Breakthrough of Supertrend Resistance

AUD/USD 0.001-brick Renko Chart with Supertrend, 50-SMA, 500-SMA, RSI and Z-Score SMA indicators showing price near 0.725. Source: TradingView

AUD/USD Renko Bounces Off 50-SMA

AUD/USD flipped the Supertrend green and then pulled back towards the 50-SMA and bounced right off it. During that recent price move also bounced around the 50 level and the Z-Score SMA turned higher. The FX pair remains in a medium term uptrend since early April 2026.and is now looking to retest 0.72775 resistance.

AUD/USD 0.001-Brick Renko Chart Showing Support Holding at 50-SMA

AUD/USD 0.001-brick Renko Chart with Supertrend, 50-SMA, 500-SMA, RSI and Z-Score SMA indicators showing price near 0.725. Source: TradingView

The Verdict

Current Trend Direction: Bullish

Bias: Positive

Support Levels: 0.6833,0.70720

Resistance Levels: 0.72715, 0.74070

Medium Term Path: The path for AUD/USD is clearly bullish. The FX pair needs to break through the 0.72715-0.72775 resistance zone as it has been consolidating a bit over the past couple of weeks. Once this is completed we can see the next level to watch being 0.7407. There is still some volatility in the atmosphere so it will not always be smooth sailing for the Aussie so pick your entries wisely.

About the Author

Cedric Thompson, CMT, CFA, is an investment strategist with experience in asset management, corporate strategy, and multi-asset investing.

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