Bitcoin Price Prediction – Failure to Hit $40,500 Would Bring sub-$38,000 into Play

After a bullish day for the crypto majors on Thursday, it has been a bearish morning for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market this morning.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin, BTC to USD, was down by 3.47% to $38,646.8.

A mixed start to the day saw Bitcoin rise to an early morning high $40,248.0 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the first major resistance level at $40,682, Bitcoin slid to a late morning intraday low $38,343.0.

Bitcoin fell through the first major support level at $39,331 and the second major support level at $38,626.

Steering clear of sub-$38,000 levels, Bitcoin moved back through the 2^nd major support level going into the afternoon.

The Rest of the Pack

It has been a bearish morning for the broader crypto market.

At the time of writing, Ripple’s XRP was down by 3.91% to lead the way down, with Litecoin (-3.64%) also struggling.

Binance Coin (-2.46%), Bitcoin Cash SV (-1.98%), Cardano’s ADA (-2.01%), Chainlink (-1.53%), Crypto.com Coin (-1.62%), and Ethereum (-1.92%) were not far behind, however.

Through the early hours, the crypto total market rose to an early morning high $1,569bn before falling to a low $1,495bn. At the time of writing, the total market cap stood at $1,509bn.

Bitcoin’s dominance rose to an early high 48.47% before falling to a low 48.07%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance stood at 48.12%.

For the Afternoon Ahead

Bitcoin would need to move back through the first major support level and the $39,977 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $40,682 into play.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Bitcoin to break back through to $40,000 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally through the afternoon, the first major resistance level at $40,682 would likely limit any upside.

In the event of a breakout, however, Bitcoin should target the 38.2% FIB of $41,592 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $41,328.

Failure to move back through the first major support level at $39,331 pivot would bring the second major support level at $38,626 back into play.

Barring an extended sell-off on the day, Bitcoin should steer clear of sub-$38,000 levels, however. The third major support level sits at $37,275.

Looking beyond the support and resistance levels, we saw the 50 EMA narrow on the 100 and 200 EMAs this morning. This supported the downside through the morning.

A further narrowing of the 50 on 100 and 200 EMAs this afternoon would bring sub-$38,000 levels into play.

Key going into the afternoon will be for Bitcoin to avoid a fall back through the morning low $38,343.0 to sub-$38,000 levels.