The current sideways price action is still only a consolidation (4th wave) before the next leg higher to $136K starts, while our ultimate target of $164K remains in sight by year’s end.
In our previous update from almost a month ago, see here, when Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at around $107250, we showed by using the Elliott Wave (EW) Principle, that
“the rally from the June 22 low should be the gray W[ave]-i, and a brief pullback for the gray W-ii should be one’s final chance to get on the bull train to at least $136K. However, there should be plenty left in the tank from that level, as we would still need the gray W-iv, v, and green W-4, 5 to ultimately and ideally reach $174K, assuming the standard Fibonacci-based path is followed.”
Fast forward, and the gray Wave-i topped the same day (June 25, at $108196). Gray W-ii dropped to $150143 six days later, and the gray W-iii is now underway, so far reaching a high of $123220 on July 14. See Figure 1 below.
Once again, our accurate Fibonacci-based EW analysis provided a reliable and accurate forecast, which our premium newsletter members access daily, ensuring they don’t miss a beat as they don’t have to wait a month for the next insight. Additionally, in our last update, we also showed that
“a potential Bull flag is forming (dotted black lines), and a breakout above the upper descending trendline targets approximately $136000. This level is exactly at the 100.00% extension of the green W-1, measured from the June 22 low at around $98K, and represents a typical 3rd of a 3rd wave target within a standard Fibonacci-based impulse pattern as shown: gray W-iii of the green W-3.”
This bull flag remains active, and its target has not yet been reached. Therefore, we should anticipate more upside after the current multi-day consolidation concludes. Specifically, BTC has completed the orange W-3 within the gray W-iii of the green W-3 and appears close to finishing the orange W-4. Once completed, the orange W-5 should target that $136K level.
Besides, there are still only four waves up from the gray W-ii low, so another move is necessary to complete the gray W-iii, since impulses involve at least five waves. Our overall target range of $164K to $216K, expected by year’s end, is supported by the 176.4% extension targeting $164913, while the current setup indicates more gains ahead for Bitcoin.
Dr. Ter Schure founded Intelligent Investing, LLC where he provides detailed daily updates to individuals and private funds on the US markets, Metals & Miners, USD,and Crypto Currencies