Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis November 3, 2014 Forecast

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Updated: Aug 25, 2015, 07:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil tumbled another 83 cents today to trade at 80.29 and looked likely to fall below the $80 price level while Brent

Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis November 3, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil tumbled another 83 cents today to trade at 80.29 and looked likely to fall below the $80 price level while Brent Oil fell 95 cents to reach 85.29. OPEC countries boosted oil output to a 14-month high in October as crude futures sank into a bear market, a Bloomberg survey showed yesterday.

Production by the 12-member Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries climbed by 53,000 barrels a day to 30.974 million, led by gains in Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Libya, according to the survey of oil companies, producers and analysts. Last month’s total was revised 14,000 barrels a day lower to 30.921 million because of changes to the Iraqi, Kuwaiti, Nigerian and Qatari estimates.

Asian traders are split on whether Saudi Arabia will deepen the crude price cuts that propelled oil into a bear market this month. State-run Saudi Arabian Oil Co. will announce official selling prices for supplies to buyers in Asia for December next week after cutting prices to the lowest in almost six years for a month earlier. The world’s biggest oil exporter will further discount supplies, according to seven respondents in a Bloomberg survey of traders. Six people forecast prices to be unchanged and two predict an increase.

Saudi Arabia’s decision may signal whether the biggest producers in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will offer bigger discounts to defend market share as the highest U.S. output in three decades boosts global supplies.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

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This Week in Petroleum
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Weekly Petroleum Status Report
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Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

Cur.	Event	Actual	Forecast	Previous
JPY	Household Spending	1.5%	1.9%	-0.3%
JPY	National Core CPI (Sep)	3.0%	3.0%	3.1%
JPY	Tokyo Core CPI (Oct)	2.5%	2.5%	2.6%
AUD	PPI (QoQ) (Q3)	0.2%	0.2%	-0.1%
EUR	German Retail Sales	-3.2%	-1.0%	1.5%
JPY	BoJ Press Conference
EUR	French Consumer	-0.8%	-0.3%	0.9%
EUR	Italian CPI (MoM)	0.1%	-0.2%	-0.4%
EUR	CPI (YoY) (Oct)	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%
EUR	Unemployment Rate	11.5%	11.5%	11.5%
USD	Core PCE Price Index		0.1%	0.1%
CAD	GDP (MoM) (Aug)		0.0%	0.0%
USD	Chicago PMI (Oct)		60.0	60.5
USD	UM Consumer Sent		86.4	86.4

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Cur.	Event	Actual	Forecast	Previous
AUD	AIG Manufacturing			46.5
AUD	Building Approvals			3.0%
CNY	Non-Manufacturing PMI			54.0
CNY	HSBC Mfg. PMI			50.4
EUR	Spanish Manufacturing			52.6
EUR	Italian Manufacturing		50.7	50.7
EUR	French Manufacturing		47.3	47.3
EUR	German Manufacturing		51.8	51.8
EUR	Manufacturing PMI		50.7	50.7
GBP	Manufacturing PMI			51.6
USD	ISM Employment		55.0	54.6
USD	ISM Manufacturing PMI		56.7	56.6