The crude oil market continues to see a lot of buyers, as the markets are now reacting to the news that Trump claims there is a US/China deal done, awaiting signatures from both Presidents. At this point, the oil market has been fighting resistance and now is in the midst of breaking it.
The light sweet crude oil market has rallied a bit during the course of the trading session here on Wednesday, as we continue to fight our way above the $65 level, which was previous resistance. So, the question is, can we take out the top of the shooting star from the previous session? Because if we do, that could open up a move all the way to the 200 day EMA. If we have a short term pullback from here, the 50 day EMA comes into the picture as potential support.
Brent is now threatening the $68 level and if we can break above there, then that could open up a big move, perhaps all the way to the 200 day EMA. Short term pullbacks continue to be buying opportunities, from what I can see, with the 50 day EMA just below the last couple of days showing potential support. This is a market that I think continues to see a lot of consolidation. And with that being the case, I think we are in the midst of accumulation, especially with this volume.
The question will be now whether or not we can find the momentum to finally break out. I do expect it to happen sometime fairly soon, but the question is whether or not it’s now or if we have to work a little bit between now and that time. I have no interest in shorting. I do believe that if we fall and then bounce, that bounce might be something that you can buy as well.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.