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Crude Oil Price Forecast – crude oil markets pulled back

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Dec 27, 2018, 16:43 UTC

Crude oil markets pulled back a bit during the trading session on Thursday after having a monumental rise during the Wednesday session. There has been massive selling pressure for some time, and the relief rally looks as if it is running into a bit of trouble.

Crude Oil daily chart, December 28, 2018

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market fell a bit during the trading session on Thursday, as we tested the $45 level. If we can break down below that level, then the market could probably go as low as $43 level, an area that offered a bit of support. Rallies at this point should be selling opportunities, and I believe that the $50 level above is a massive “ceiling” in the market. The 50 day EMA is also turning lower, which of course is a very negative sign as well. I believe in fading rallies.

Crude Oil Price Forecast Video 28.12.18

Brent

Brent markets also fell below the $55 level after that massive rally, and on this chart I even have a nice downtrend line on the chart that shows just how negative this market is. I think that the $60 level above, the 50 day EMA, and of course the downtrend line all give us pause . I believe that the $50 level underneath is massive support, but if it gives way and the sellers can break down below there, we could open the door to the $45 level rather quickly.

Ultimately, I need to see a daily close above the uptrend line at the very least a start think about buying. If we break above the 50 day EMA, then we could go back towards the highs. I do believe that OPEC will eventually jump into the market and cut back on production, so we will have to see what happens. I do think we are getting close to the bottom but we may not be there quite yet.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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