Oil markets have been very noisy over the last 24 hours, as we continue to see a certain amount of thin trading between holidays.
The WTI Crude Oil market initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday, but then drifted towards the $59.50 level. I think there is a significant amount of resistance at the $60 level above, which of course is a massive barrier as the market continues to look at large, round, psychologically significant numbers for guidance. We don’t have much in the way of volume currently, as we are between the 2 biggest holidays of the year. I believe that if we break above the $60 level, the market will then go to the 6205 zero dollars level above. If we break down below the $59 level, I think the market will go looking towards the $58.50 level. Ultimately, this is a market that continues to be very noisy, but at this point I think there is potential for disruption.
Brent markets fell during the trading session during Thursday, as we gapped lower, rallied to fill the gap, then turned around to fall yet again. It looks like we are going to go looking towards the uptrend line, which of course is what has lifted the market since the middle of December. I believe that given enough time, we may have to make a serious decision at the uptrend line, and if we do the market probably goes down to the $65 handle. That is an area that is massively supportive, but a breakdown below there is very negative, and should send this market much lower. I would become aggressive at that point, but in the meantime it’s likely that we will simply slam around.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.