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Crude Oil Price Forecast July 6, 2017, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jul 6, 2017, 05:01 UTC

WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market went sideways initially during the day on Wednesday, but then collapsed as the Russians said that they are not

Crude Oil daily chart, July 06, 2017

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market went sideways initially during the day on Wednesday, but then collapsed as the Russians said that they are not willing to cut production even further. Because of this, we have dropped all the way down towards the $45 level which of course has a certain amount of psychological support. If we break down below there, the market should go much lower. Any rally now continues to be and I selling opportunity as the oil markets are still going to deal with a significant amount of oversupply. The US dollar strengthening of course works against the value of oil as well, and I believe that we will then go down to the $42.50 level after that. I have no interest in buying the oil markets, as they fundamental simply do not line up for higher pricing.

Crude Oil Price Forecast Video 06.7.17

Brent

Brent markets went sideways initially during the session as well, but also fell significantly. They also bounced enough to test the 24-hour exponential moving average, and then breakdown below there to test the $48 level. I believe that there is even more support at the $47 level under that, which has been important in the past. I believe that every time we rally, we should find exhaustion above, as the $50 level should essentially be the “ceiling” in the market. I have no interest in trying to bind this market, I believe that the oversupply issue continues to be a very big problem, and the US dollar rising will of course work against the value of Brent as well. We are awash in massive amounts of crude oil around the world and quite frankly cannot find enough places to store it. Selling is the only thing I will put money to.

Brent daily chart, July 06, 2017
Brent daily chart, July 06, 2017

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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