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Crude Oil Price Outlook – Crude Oil Continues to Drop

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Aug 4, 2025, 14:09 GMT+00:00

The crude oil markets continue to struggle a bit at this point, as the OPEC announcement of further drilling continues to pressure the pricing of this asset. At this point, we also have to keep in mind that the markets are also worried about tariffs.

WTI/CL Technical Analysis

The crude oil market continues to see a lot of negative pressure overall as OPEC has decided to expand its drilling for the day by over half a million barrels. So that, of course, is very negative for crude oil pricing as we are plunging in the light sweet crude oil market down toward the crucial $65 level. Ultimately, this is a market that I think needs to try to sort out whether or not this range is going to be held. At this point in time, I think you have to recognize the fact that this is a market that previously had seen the $65 level as crucial. So, a little bit of market memory makes sense here, as it could cause a reaction.

Brent Technical Analysis

Brent markets are also falling pretty significantly. And I think at this juncture, you have a scenario where traders are simply waiting to see if $68 will hold. If $68 holds, then this could be a buying area. But again, you have to worry about whether or not the floor breaks. And if it does, then we could open up and move down to the $66 level, possibly even down to the $62 level. All things being equal, I think crude is doing everything it can to maybe stay in a range. The next day or two would be crucial. If we do stay above this area, then I’m just going to continue to trade it back and forth like I was before.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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