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Paul Rejczak
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Gold

The gold futures contract lost 0.72% on Wednesday, as it retraced some of its Thursday’s-Friday’s rally. The price broke above a short-term consolidation along $1,800 price level last week. In early April the market has bounced from the support level marked by March 8 local low of $1,663.30. The yellow metal’s price was the lowest since last year’s June. Today gold is trading along yesterday’s daily low, as we can see on the daily chart (the chart includes today’s intraday data):

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Gold is 0.2% lower this morning, as it is trading along yesterday’s daily low. What about the other precious metals? Silver is 0.7% lower, platinum is 0.7% lower and palladium is 0.3% lower today. So precious metals are lower this morning.

Yesterday’s Consumer Price Index release has been higher than expected at +0.8% m/m. The stock market extended its short-term sell-off and gold came back closer to $1,800 price level. Today we will get the Producer Price Index and Unemployment Claims releases, among others.

Where would the price of gold go following last Friday’s NFP release? We’ve compiled the data since September of 2018, a 32-month-long period of time that contains of thirty two NFP releases. The following chart shows the average gold price path before and after the NFP releases for the past 32 months. The market was usually advancing ahead of the release day and closing 0.49% higher on the 10th day after the NFP release.

Below you will find our Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks economic news schedule for the next two trading days:

Thursday, May 13

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Unemployment Claims, PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Barkin Speech
  • 11:00 a.m. Canada – BOC Governor Macklem Speech
  • 1:00 p.m. U.S. – FOMC Member Waller Speech
  • All Day, Eurozone – French Bank Holiday, German Bank Holiday

Friday, May 14

  • 8:30 a.m. U.S. – Retail Sales m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m , Import Prices m/m
  • 9:15 a.m. U.S. – Industrial Production m/m, Capacity Utilization Rate
  • 10:00 a.m. U.S. – Preliminary UoM Consumer Sentiment, Preliminary UoM Inflation Expectations, Business Inventories m/m

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Selection Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Analysis. Care. Profits.

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Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits’ associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits’ employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

 

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