Ethereum’s onchain data shows early signs of institutional reaccumulation.
According to CryptoQuant, the Spot Average Order Size metric, which tracks the mean size of spot transactions, has surged during Ether’s (ETH) drop toward the $3,200 zone.
The rise in large-volume orders (represented by green clusters on the chart) suggests renewed participation from whales and professional investors seeking exposure at discounted prices.
Historically, similar spikes in whale-driven activity have appeared near local bottoms, signaling the start of accumulation phases that later evolve into sustained uptrends.
The accumulation comes as optimism about the US lawmakers nearing the end of the government shutdown boosts risk appetite.
Ether rose by over 8% in the last 24 hours, reaching $3,658, its highest point in a week, after a group of Senate Democrats broke with their party on a procedural measure to help Republicans advance a funding bill.
Bitcoin (BTC), US stocks, and commodities like gold (XAU) and silver (XAG) rallied alongside.
Ethereum appears to be confirming a bullish breakout from an ascending triangle pattern that has been forming since early November.
The upside target for the structure sits between $3,900 and $3,950, derived from the triangle’s height added to the breakout level.
This zone also coincides with a confluence of resistance levels, including the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line and the descending trendline that has capped ETH rallies since October.
A decisive close above this area could shift Ethereum’s short-term bias further bullish, opening the door to potential tests of the 200-EMA and psychological $4,000 mark.
Conversely, failure to hold above $3,530 would invalidate the pattern and risk a retest of $3,300 support.
Yashu Gola is a crypto journalist and analyst with expertise in digital assets, blockchain, and macroeconomics. He provides in-depth market analysis, technical chart patterns, and insights on global economic impacts. His work bridges traditional finance and crypto, offering actionable advice and educational content. Passionate about blockchain's role in finance, he studies behavioral finance to predict memecoin trends.