The pair had risen yesterday following strong Chinese macro data. Today, it needs something more of power to impress the euro bulls.
Yesterday’s slip in the EUR/USD from the top 1.1325 levels stalled and remained consolidated near 1.1300 levels. During the early Asian session, there appeared firm signs of downward movement in the pair. The euro pair must go down beyond strong 1.1291 support level to confirm a bear call. Nevertheless, the EUR/USD tries hard to sustain near the 1.300 comfort levels.
Near the start of this week, the ECB Officials had addressed on their concerns for strong economic growth. They had mentioned the forecasts for the 2H19 seems unrealistic. This dovish tone continues to stem in for a EUR/USD plunge story. Things may worsen if the key euro events miss market expectation.
A few moments ago, at 06:00 GMT, the German March MoM PPI came around 0.3 percent below the market expectation.
Markit Economics will publish the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for Germany at 7:30 GMT and for the EMU at 8:00 GMT. This index measures the manufacturing, services, and the composite of both sectors.
The US Census Bureau will release the Retail Sales Control Group for March. The report computes the consumer spending which is crucial for assessing GDP. The consensus expects the numbers to reach at 0.4 percent than previous negative 0.2 percent.
The Ichimoku clouds remained around only three pips above the EUR/USD. Nonetheless, that makes for a slight bearish call towards 1.1280 levels. The baseline and the conversion line remained coincided with the euro pair, developing a neutral forecast. From the SMA perspective, the pair traded just below the significant 100-days and 200-days SMA showing a small bearish trend. On the upside, however, if it uptrends on fundamental backing then it will face the strong 1.1320 resistance level.
Nik has extensive experience as an Analyst, Trader and Financial Consultant for Global Capital Markets. His vision is to generate Highest, Consistent and Sustained Risk-Adjusted Returns for clients over long term basis and providing them world-class investment advisory services.