EUR/USD, GBP/USD, DXY Price Forecast: DXY Nears $105.500; Targeting $105 Today?

Arslan Ali
Published: Apr 26, 2024, 08:04 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • US Economic Overview: Advance GDP at 1.6%, GDP Price Index surged by 3.1%, and steady unemployment claims.
  • Eurozone & UK Indicators: Spain's unemployment at 12.3%, UK's CBI Sales plummeted, GfK Confidence -19.
  • Upcoming Events: US Core PCE, Personal Income, and Spending data; Eurozone M3 Money Supply and Private Loans.
US Dollar Index and FOMC

In this article:

Market Overview

In yesterday’s review, the Advance GDP figures for the US showed a modest growth of 1.6%, slightly below expectations. Unemployment claims remained steady, while the GDP Price Index surged by 3.1%, signaling stubborn inflationary pressures.

Meanwhile, in the Eurozone, Spain’s unemployment rate saw a marginal increase, reaching 12.3%, reflecting ongoing labor market challenges.

Additionally, the UK’s CBI Realized Sales plummeted to -44, indicating a significant decline in sales activity, while GfK Consumer Confidence figures remained pessimistic, with a reading of -19.

Events Ahead

Looking ahead, significant events are on the horizon. In the US, investors will closely monitor Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income, and Personal Spending data releases, crucial indicators for gauging inflationary trends and consumer behavior.

Furthermore, revisions to the UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, currently at 3.1%, will provide further insights into consumer sentiment and inflation outlooks.

In the Eurozone, attention will be on M3 Money Supply and Private Loans data, offering clues about the health of the region’s financial system and lending activities.

US Dollar Index (DXY)

Dollar Index
Dollar Index

In today’s technical analysis of the Dollar Index, the price stands at $105.669, marking a slight increase of 0.09%. Analyzing the 4-hour chart timeframe, key price levels are identified, with the pivot point set at $105.521. Immediate resistance levels are observed at $106.111 and $106.536, while immediate support lies at $104.901, followed by $104.434 and $103.865.

Technical indicators, including the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $105.782 and the 200-day EMA at $104.988, offer further insights into market trends. With a bullish sentiment prevailing above $105.521, a breach below this level could trigger significant selling pressure.

EUR/USD Technical Forecast

EUR/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
EUR/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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