Some traders are ready to bet that Fed will have to raise rates above the 5% level in 2023.
U.S. dollar gains ground against a broad basket of currencies as traders react to the comments of Fed’s Williams.
New York Federal Reserve Bank of New York President said that it was reasonable to expect a peak rate of 5% – 5.25%.
Treasury yields continue to move higher as bond traders believe that the Fed may have to push the federal funds rate above the 5% level to fight inflation. Rising Treasury yields are bullish for the U.S. dollar.
EUR/USD settled near 1.0720 after an unsuccessful attempt to climb above the 1.0750 level. Traders stay focused on the outlook for Fed policy. Yesterday, EUR/USD found support near the 50 EMA at 1.0670. In case Treasury yields continue to move higher, EUR/USD will have a decent chance to settle below this support level.
GBP/USD tried to climb above the 1.2100 level but lost momentum and pulled back towards the 1.2050 level. From a big picture point of view, GBP/USD is trying to stabilize after the recent pullback. In case this attempt is successful, GBP/USD will have a chance to test the 50 EMA at 1.2130.
USD/CAD settled back above the 1.3400 level as the U.S. dollar moved higher against a broad basket of currencies.
Other commodity-related currencies have also found themselves under pressure in today’s trading session. AUD/USD declined below the 0.6950 level, while NZD/USD moved towards the 0.6300 level.
USD/JPY found support near the 20 EMA at 130.65 and is trying to settle above the 131.50 level. Most likely, USD/JPY traders will stay focused on general dynamics of the U.S. dollar in the upcoming trading sessions.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Vladimir is an independent trader and analyst with over 10 years of experience in the financial markets. He is a specialist in stocks, futures, Forex, indices, and commodities areas using long-term positional trading and swing trading.