Based on the early price action, the direction of the EUR/USD the rest of the session will be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at 1.2226.
The EUR/USD is trading lower on Thursday for a fifth consecutive session. The Forex pair is rapidly approaching a series of retracement levels and another main bottom.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. If the downside momentum continues, we could see a test of the next main bottom at 1.2164. Taking out this bottom will reaffirm the downtrend.
The short-term range is 1.2164 to 1.2537. Its 50% level at 1.2351 is resistance.
The main range is 1.1915 to 1.2537. Its retracement zone is 1.2226 to 1.2153. The market tested the upper or 50% level at 1.2226 earlier today.
The major support is the long-term 50% level at 1.2166.
Based on the early price action, the direction of the EUR/USD the rest of the session will be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at 1.2226.
A sustained move over 1.2226 will signal the return of buyers. If this move generates enough upside momentum then look for a rally into the steep downtrending Gann angle at 1.2322. This angle has been guiding the EUR/USD lower at a rate of .004 per day since February 1. Overcoming this angle could trigger a move into 1.2351.
A sustained move under 1.2226 will indicate the presence of sellers. This could trigger an acceleration into a support cluster at 1.2166 to 1.2164, followed closely by 1.2153 and an uptrending Gann angle at 1.2135.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.