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EUR/USD Mid-Session Technical Analysis for August 30, 2018

By:
James Hyerczyk
Updated: Aug 30, 2018, 12:46 UTC

Based on the early price action, the direction of the EUR/USD today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the price cluster at 1.1692.

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The Euro is trading slightly lower shortly after the U.S. opening on Thursday. The price action is mixed with the relatively low volume producing an early two-sided trade. The trade is a little tentative ahead of a slew of U.S. economic reports later today and the start of a long U.S. holiday week-end.

At 1142 GMT, the EUR/USD is trading 1.1684, down 0.0023 or -0.19%.

Uncertainty over Brexit negotiations may be limiting gains, however, the Forex pair is being supported by increased risk appetite as well as easing concerns over trade conflicts.

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Daily EUR/USD

Daily Technical Analysis

The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. The uptrend will continue on a trade through 1.1734. The EUR/USD is not in a position to change the trend to down, but it is in the window of time for a potentially bearish closing price reversal top.

The minor trend is also up. A trade through 1.1651 will change the minor trend to down. This will also shift momentum to the downside.

The first minor range is 1.1734 to 1.1651. Its 50% level or pivot is 1.1692. The market is currently straddling this level.

The second minor range is 1.1530 to 1.1734. Its 50% level or pivot is 1.1532. Yesterday’s selling pressure stopped just short of this level.


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Daily Technical Forecast

Based on the early price action, the direction of the EUR/USD today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the price cluster at 1.1692.

A sustained move over 1.1692 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this move creates enough upside momentum then look for a rally into 1.1734, followed by a steep uptrending Gann angle at 1.1741.

Crossing to the strong side of the angle at 1.1741 will but the Euro in a bullish position. This could trigger a breakout over 1.1747 and an eventual rally into the next main top at 1.1791.

A sustained move under 1.1692 will signal the presence of sellers. This could trigger an acceleration into 1.1651, followed closely by 1.1632. The latter is another trigger point for a move into 1.1577.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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